tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post3661195779095793880..comments2024-03-13T10:47:17.967-05:00Comments on The Weather Centre: Long Range Discussion, Concerns About Winter (Part 1)Andrewhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09751979013231521196noreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-58983953360069096542014-10-19T00:53:41.358-05:002014-10-19T00:53:41.358-05:00Anonymous at 1:40: For the near term, I would expe...Anonymous at 1:40: For the near term, I would expect a predominantly positive AAM in the next few weeks, but beyond that, it's just too far out to tell.<br /><br />Anonymous at 8:35: I am stating my concerns about this winter, not a change in my forecast.Andrewhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09751979013231521196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-6580951327041271682014-10-18T08:35:12.997-05:002014-10-18T08:35:12.997-05:00why give a winter forecast and change your opinion...why give a winter forecast and change your opinion one day later!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-40066870498304776522014-10-17T13:40:44.279-05:002014-10-17T13:40:44.279-05:00How long is the AAM expected to stay positive? Thi...How long is the AAM expected to stay positive? This would completely throw off the cold winter forecast. Despite this, I still don't think this winter will be warm. I've seen way too many factors point to a cold winter and its unlikely it would stay positive through the entire winter. I've seen many mild Novembers followed by a cold December. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-60242897831004701102014-10-17T06:19:35.235-05:002014-10-17T06:19:35.235-05:00Dang Andrew......LOL! U R killing me...I have been...Dang Andrew......LOL! U R killing me...I have been up late every night pouring over all your data for a week and this last post is a very technical one!....But, It is just jam-packed with so much great info! Thanks again for all your hard work....Tip-Of-The-Hat.....Frank-onoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-86162811006423901142014-10-16T23:38:13.945-05:002014-10-16T23:38:13.945-05:00i hope columbus oh gets above normal snowfall this...i hope columbus oh gets above normal snowfall this winterAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00004439112995370118noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-26622590736445500942014-10-16T22:36:43.076-05:002014-10-16T22:36:43.076-05:00Oh yes, I'll take that warm winter! Send her o...Oh yes, I'll take that warm winter! Send her on over my way!<br />I so deserve this!! :)<br /><br />bree<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-10271532644609963572014-10-16T20:12:22.538-05:002014-10-16T20:12:22.538-05:00RJ: You're likely thinking of the negative AAM...RJ: You're likely thinking of the negative AAM, which weakens the jet stream and allows it to be wavy like you're describing.Andrewhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09751979013231521196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-5117496665932172302014-10-16T20:11:07.245-05:002014-10-16T20:11:07.245-05:00Anonymous at 6:41: The start of November may be wa...Anonymous at 6:41: The start of November may be warm, that'll depend on if the ECMWF keeps this forecast steady, which certainly is not a given. I'll have the second part about this winter out tomorrow.Andrewhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09751979013231521196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-28378725769373365072014-10-16T19:28:38.742-05:002014-10-16T19:28:38.742-05:00 I thought a positive AAM would slow the Jet Strea... I thought a positive AAM would slow the Jet Stream slowing down, leading to more buckling?Ownavillehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01407022003144467005noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-61784556709527138162014-10-16T19:09:00.987-05:002014-10-16T19:09:00.987-05:00Here in the North West Mountains and Foothills of ...Here in the North West Mountains and Foothills of N.C....we have had a steady diet of days 6 degrees to as much as 14 degrees above normal... I said we would be warm and we will stay warm for the most part right on thru October, November and maybe right on thru December....A very wet and warm winter may be on the table for most of the South east.....<br />Frank-onoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-40273296044184687972014-10-16T18:41:22.619-05:002014-10-16T18:41:22.619-05:00:( So basically it's going to be a warm Novemb...:( So basically it's going to be a warm November, Andrew? What about December, January, February? Hopefully your Winter Outlook is still the same for the Northeast US. I really don't want another 2011-2012 winter of warmth and no snow.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com