tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post5403068879492186063..comments2024-03-13T10:47:17.967-05:00Comments on The Weather Centre: January Long-Range Outlook: La Nina Pattern Expected to DominateAndrewhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09751979013231521196noreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-77008646019828110182015-01-01T09:26:29.839-06:002015-01-01T09:26:29.839-06:00Andrew: Remember back in October when I was pointi...Andrew: Remember back in October when I was pointing to all the La-Nina patterns that were occurring here in North Western North Carolina. We were running at times 15 degrees above normal temp wise and we had close to record rainfall Now we are very warm and very wet here and it looks to stay that way....Frank-onoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-23594133538993742712014-12-31T15:54:43.459-06:002014-12-31T15:54:43.459-06:00I hope your original forecast still pans out Andre...I hope your original forecast still pans out Andrew- don't give up on it yet! I am still keeping my fingers crossed for lots of cold and snow in the eastern part of the country.We all have our reasons for liking snow-you could say that it is fun to play in and that would be enough...or that some love winter as much as others love summer. There is an intrinsic and aesthetic value to snow as well ... the hush of falling snow...the crunch underfoot and they way it decorates every tree and landmark-but I am preaching to the choir- right? Thanks for the great post Andrew ! Elizabethnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-10109449698068366872014-12-30T15:04:09.110-06:002014-12-30T15:04:09.110-06:00Why does everybody want snow. Unless you are in th...Why does everybody want snow. Unless you are in the ski biz, it only costs you money, time and risk of car wrecks.Markhttp://www.indypicker.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-82774393917358317452014-12-30T12:25:00.544-06:002014-12-30T12:25:00.544-06:00Andrew- we really, really do appreciate your work ...Andrew- we really, really do appreciate your work in calculating your forecasts. Hopefully there is a glitch in the models, and Coatesville, PA will get a blizzard or two!! Always wishing!Bruce B.noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-62220781872962734112014-12-29T23:55:52.036-06:002014-12-29T23:55:52.036-06:00Don't beat yourself up Andrew, you don't m...Don't beat yourself up Andrew, you don't make the weather you just help everyone to try and make sense of it.<br /><br />It's not over just not going according to Hoyle right now. If your winter forecast busts you have three seasons to figure out why.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-67953954436586525252014-12-29T20:16:03.468-06:002014-12-29T20:16:03.468-06:00I live in VA Beach, this is so disappointing. We d...I live in VA Beach, this is so disappointing. We don't get much snow to begin with, but this should just about kill any chance.<br />Totally bummed.<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-22333388726954028822014-12-29T18:32:10.214-06:002014-12-29T18:32:10.214-06:00Andrew, I'm going to have to respectfully disa...Andrew, I'm going to have to respectfully disagree with your analysis. I think you're placing way too much stock in the MJO. It was pretty much a non factor last year. The winter of '77/'78 was also a great example, in which, while the MJO was in the warm phases, brutally cold air invaded the East. Further, modeling has struggled immensely with the MJO as of late. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-82309114928593958252014-12-29T18:30:41.470-06:002014-12-29T18:30:41.470-06:00Energy is always changing! Rather its weather or p...Energy is always changing! Rather its weather or people, energy changes.<br />I'm good with the update! <br /><br />Thank you so much Andrew for keeping us all informed!<br />Your hard work is very much appreciated!!<br />breeAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-9205912925592738022014-12-29T17:40:24.076-06:002014-12-29T17:40:24.076-06:00I don't know Andrew, last winter we didn't...I don't know Andrew, last winter we didn't have favorable MJO phases all the time either, but it still got quite cold. The MJO is only one of many factors that control our weather and there are many ways to work around it. The MJO is expected to go into phases more favorable by mid and late January so I wouldn't go as far to say your winter forecast is in trouble. This stratospheric warming event going on is no joke either, it could turn very cold around here later in January. The latest euro actually has the MJO just barely going through the warm phases and goes straight into phases 6 and 7. In the end, anything could happen. That's the excitement in the weather!<br /> <br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-27782270438582935492014-12-29T16:44:27.513-06:002014-12-29T16:44:27.513-06:00Can it be cold in NE Ohio for parts of the first t...Can it be cold in NE Ohio for parts of the first ten and maybe last ten days of the month? And also how about the SSW?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-1201828473658001072014-12-29T15:29:55.242-06:002014-12-29T15:29:55.242-06:00The GWO has been forecasted to amplify in phase 2 ... The GWO has been forecasted to amplify in phase 2 since October yet never has(so I wouldn't worry about it.<br /><br /> Although the MJO is in phase 4. It is both incoherent and has connections to the polar westerlies.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com