tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post8349883293006246268..comments2024-03-13T10:47:17.967-05:00Comments on The Weather Centre: Atlantic Tropical Troubles May Be BrewingAndrewhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09751979013231521196noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-19956495746849623472012-05-13T10:38:48.487-05:002012-05-13T10:38:48.487-05:00ERN WX, how do you think southeast Michigan will d...ERN WX, how do you think southeast Michigan will do this year with snow? Thanks.WinterStormhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14608230166264312074noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-77580394373325337512012-05-12T20:53:28.310-05:002012-05-12T20:53:28.310-05:00I am thinking Kansas may do decently in the snow d...I am thinking Kansas may do decently in the snow department. A suppressed storm track looks helpful. Kansas has the best storms!!!!!!!!!! Thanks Andrew!!!/ERN WXnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-80403980825606839302012-05-12T13:26:13.981-05:002012-05-12T13:26:13.981-05:00I haven't seen a central plains winter yet. I ...I haven't seen a central plains winter yet. I know sc and se-KS gets mild winters but only compared to rest of the state. The IV quadrant of KS is humid subtropical so winters could be back to wet.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-54097869843976125222012-05-12T11:10:04.195-05:002012-05-12T11:10:04.195-05:00ERN WX: I'm very impressed. I agree with your ...ERN WX: I'm very impressed. I agree with your forecast. The East Coast will definitely get their share of snow this season if the ENSO plays its part. Thanks for posting!Andrewhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09751979013231521196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-42096206099160662532012-05-12T10:53:35.293-05:002012-05-12T10:53:35.293-05:00If you like winter weather or hate it you might wa...If you like winter weather or hate it you might want to read this. Also special thanks to Andrew, who runs this site so well and is allowing me to post this. Thanks, Andrew!!! Yes, it is a long way away, but their are classic indicators. Weak El Nino is most favored. First the Pac Northwest. Usual weak Nino impacts. Warmer than normal and dry. Snowfall below average. Southwest, temps about normal and precip likely above average. BIG storms will occur. Not as wet as some Ninos though. The Mountains( Denver and the like), normal temps, normal precip, and above normal snow is favored. Far Northern Plains will probably have above normal temps, below normal precip, and slightly below normal snow. But you will see more snow than the past terrible winter. Midwest, temps slightly below normal favored, and with a -NAO in control based on sunspot activity, snowfall may be slightly above normal. Includes Ohio valley. Southeast, below avg temps, above avg precip, above average snow for most! South Ecntral, temps below average, precip likely well above normal, and snow should be above average. Northeast/Mid Atlantic, below average temps except New England (normal), above avg precip, abv avg snow. If a -NAO/Nino couplet develops, just about everyone will have above avg snow. Based on climatology, long range models, and experience. Sources: CPC, Illinios edu, Albany edu. Not the Weather Centre's forecast. Just my thoughts. WInter is long distance so confidence isn't great. Thanks again, Andrew!!!ERN WXnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-27020552352410240742012-05-12T10:27:13.592-05:002012-05-12T10:27:13.592-05:00El Nino may have its hand in the dry Plains weathe...El Nino may have its hand in the dry Plains weather. My areas drought has been pretty well damaged. I hope a drought doesn't form in your area. Severe wx is lacking for just about everyone./ERN WXnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-58967600131832705112012-05-12T10:21:04.390-05:002012-05-12T10:21:04.390-05:00If things go as I hope, I will be able to put out ...If things go as I hope, I will be able to put out my winter thoughts!!! Sorry, I haven't gotten them out yet. /ERN WXnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1448180228140749967.post-49548500930338419152012-05-11T21:32:46.889-05:002012-05-11T21:32:46.889-05:00This system is shown to be so powerful that it wil...This system is shown to be so powerful that it will suck the Gulf moisture across the Atlantic. The Pacific is nothing now but large sfc highs. No wonder the Plains is dry during tornado season. That's the way weather works. When the inactive region is in need of activating, it's like the current active region must deactivate.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com