Today's 18z GFS has kept the storm system to the south, more south than the 12z GFS. In this solution, precipitation would be kept to a minimum and snow accumulations would be lighter. We just checked individual GFS Ensemble members and found that only 2 of 12 members forecast snow in the region. Check stats below.
Ensemble members forecasting snow (out of 12 members)
0z GFS- 9/12 (75%)
6z GFS- 11/12 (92%)
12z GFS- 5/12 (42%)
18z GFS- 2/12 (17%)
We are not buying the idea of a snowstorm, but if enough cold air can be in place, I would expect MAXIMUM totals of 4 inches. This, of course, is subject to change as we are over 5 days out from the possible storm.
Ensemble members forecasting snow (out of 12 members)
0z GFS- 9/12 (75%)
6z GFS- 11/12 (92%)
12z GFS- 5/12 (42%)
18z GFS- 2/12 (17%)
We are not buying the idea of a snowstorm, but if enough cold air can be in place, I would expect MAXIMUM totals of 4 inches. This, of course, is subject to change as we are over 5 days out from the possible storm.