It's getting pretty frustrating to see the teleconnections being so unbelievably stubborn right now. In all honesty, if this continues, our winter forecast will have to be revised. Here's the latest.
NAO
The NAO is mocking snow lovers with a bouncing ball-like forecast. We see the ensembles pretending to go towards negative territory but then moving positive again, like a bouncing ball. Until the NAO can actually go negative, you won't be seeing huge snows anytime soon.
AO
Here's the gist of the AO: If it goes negative, you can expect temperatures to go down. If it's positive, the cold air won't be coming near the country soon. We see the AO ensembles taunting us with nosediving towards negative, but then shooting up positive again in defiance. This is not a good recipe for winter.
Summary
This is a really horrible batch of teleconnections we have here. Until these two indices above go negative, winter will keep stalling. It can only stall for so long before winter ends.
We don't want to vent about how horrible this is, so we are keeping this post to a minimum, explanation-wise.