Thursday, July 28, 2011
Tropical Storm Don: July 28 Evening Models Overview
You can see all information on Don by clicking below on the label Tropical Storm Don or clicking on the image at the top of the page called 'Track The Storm'.
Tropical Storm Don: Rainfall Forecast
You can see all other information on Don by checking out the label below called Tropical Storm Don, or click the image at the top of the page saying 'track the storm'.
July 28- Evening Severe Weather Briefing
We will keep watching the radars for further information.
July 28- Area where storms will develop
The map above is the MCS Maintenance, which is made up of over 340 MCS parameters.
The higher this parameter is indicates the more likelihood of the development and/or upkeep of a MCS (storm cluster).
2011-2012 Winter Forecast: Comparing Last Winter's Underwater Temps to Now
We did some research regarding 1 meter underwater temperatures in the ENSO regions, and decided to compare last winter's temperatures to this year's at current time of publishing.
We can see how cold the water was last year, when there was a strong La Nina in effect. This year, we can see how temperatures in the ENSO regions have decreased by 2 degrees Celsius in a span of 2 or 3 months. This rapid cooling is definitely an encouraging sign that a La Nina may be in the works for this winter.
July 28- Destabilizing atmosphere
MUCAPE indices are already past 5000 j/kg as we watch for severe storms tonight.
We expect these storms to congeal into a cluster, some cells with possibly strong structures.
July 28: Tropical Storm Warning- Corpus Christi, TX
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST... .NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED FOR THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST AND MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...MCMULLEN...LIVE OAK...BEE...GOLIAD...VICTORIA... DUVAL...JIM WELLS...KLEBERG...NUECES...SAN PATRICIO...ARANSAS... REFUGIO AND CALHOUN. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SPECIFIED AREAS. ALL PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREAS SHOULD ALREADY HAVE PREPARATIONS UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. IN ORDER TO MAKE THE BEST DECISIONS...BE SURE THAT YOU UNDERSTAND THE TERMINOLOGY AND DEFINITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE EVENTS. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.1N...LONGITUDE 90.1W. THIS WAS ABOUT 500 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARANSAS TX...OR ABOUT 490 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PORT O`CONNOR TX. STORM MOTION WAS NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED. A MORE DETAILED STATEMENT WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE PLAN SPECIFIC TO YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. IT IS IMPORTANT TO ACTIVELY LISTEN FOR FORTHCOMING INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY. MARINERS ARE URGED TO MAKE ALL NECESSARY PREPARATIONS TO RETURN TO PORT...SEEK SAFE HARBOR...AND SECURE THEIR CRAFT. NOW IS THE TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN FOR TROPICAL SYSTEMS. MONITOR WEATHER BROADCASTS FOR CHANGES TO THE LATEST FORECAST AND LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI SHORTLY. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA.
July 28: Tropical Storm Warning- Quintana, TX
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE UPPER TEXAS COAST... .NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LAND LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND THE UPPER TEXAS BAYS AND COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...JACKSON...MATAGORDA AND BRAZORIA. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE UPPER TEXAS BAYS AND COASTAL WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SPECIFIED AREAS. ALL PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREAS SHOULD ALREADY HAVE PREPARATIONS UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. IN ORDER TO MAKE THE BEST DECISIONS...BE SURE THAT YOU UNDERSTAND THE TERMINOLOGY AND DEFINITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE EVENTS. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 9 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.1N...LONGITUDE 90.1W. THIS WAS ABOUT 480 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MATAGORDA TX...OR ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FREEPORT TX. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED. A MORE DETAILED STATEMENT WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH OR WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN SPECIFIC TO YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. FOR THOSE NEARBY...REVIEW YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN AND BECOME READY TO ACT IF A WATCH OR A WARNING IS LATER ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IT IS IMPORTANT TO ACTIVELY LISTEN FOR FORTHCOMING INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY. MARINERS ARE URGED TO MAKE ALL NECESSARY PREPARATIONS TO RETURN TO PORT...SEEK SAFE HARBOR...AND SECURE THEIR CRAFT. NOW IS THE TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN FOR TROPICAL SYSTEMS. MONITOR WEATHER BROADCASTS FOR CHANGES TO THE LATEST FORECAST AND LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON SHORTLY. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA. TXZ235>237-291500- /O.UPG.KHGX.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KHGX.TR.W.1004.110728T1449Z-000000T0000Z/ JACKSON-MATAGORDA-BRAZORIA- 949 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2011 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
July 28: Tropical Storm Watch- Corpus Christi, TX
TROPICAL STORM DON LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 538 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2011 ...TROPICAL STORM DON CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO... .NEW INFORMATION... THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK HAS SHIFTED A BIT FURTHER SOUTH. IF THIS TRACK HOLDS TRUE...THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE THE BRUNT OF TROPICAL STORM DON. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... MCMULLEN...LIVE OAK...BEE...GOLIAD...VICTORIA...DUVAL...JIM WELLS...KLEBERG...NUECES...SAN PATRICIO...ARANSAS...REFUGIO AND CALHOUN. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0N...LONGITUDE 88.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 620 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARANSAS TX...OR ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PORT OCONNOR TX. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 40 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... AT THIS TIME...EXPECT AN INCREASING THREAT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL BEGINNING AS EARLY AS FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. THESE THREATS WILL THEN SHIFT INLAND FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING WHERE RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTALS NEAR 5 INCHES POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF THE STORM`S TRACK. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY SOMEWHERE WITHIN SOUTH TEXAS...LOCALIZED FLOODING AND MINOR FLOODING OF AREA BEACHES. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI AROUND 11 AM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. TXZ242>247-291045- /O.CON.KCRP.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN- 538 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2011 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM DON. MUCH DEPENDS ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST. HOWEVER...BARRIER ISLAND BEACHES WILL LIKELY BE INUNDATED WITH WATER REACHING INTO THE DUNES AND FLOODING ACCESS ROADS.
July 28- Morning Atlantic Tropical Storm DON Discussion
This will bring a very big dent into the Texas Drought. It won't cure it, but the drought certainly will recede by some point.
More discussion as more info comes out at noon.
68,028 Lightning Strikes in 12 hours!
From 6 PM CDT to 6 AM, 68,028 lightning strikes were observed in the Chicagoland area from July 27-28.
July 27, 2011 Dubuque, IA Storms Q & A (Historic Rainfall)
 |
| An image of the storms from 9 PM CDT last night. |
A: Officially 7.47 via the NWS for yesterday's rain and not early this morning, but news sources indicate 10+ inches as a storm total.
Q: What are the effects?
A: Reports of water rescues, bridges flooded, etc.
Q: How did this happen?
A: The storms in Dubuque didn't stop because more kept forming behind the ones that were already moving through. We call this 'training' in the weather world. It is similar to what happened in Chicago several days ago.
Q: How long did the storms go on for?
A: At least 7 hours.
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