18z NAM Introduces 10 inches of Snow to Wisconsin

The 18z NAM has introduced the prospect of up to 10 inches of snow to the Wisconsin/Minnesota border. This will come as the low pressure system currently causing the tornadoes in the South will move northward and bring significant rain to areas south of this snowfall. This will be a pretty interesting situation, as this could end up as 10 inches of snow or 2 inches of rain. It all depends on how far north the rain snow line moves.

Tornado On Ground North of Fort Cobb, Oklahoma

502 PM CST MON NOV 7 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CST FOR CENTRAL

CADDO COUNTY...

AT 502 PM CST...RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS OBSERVED A TORNADO 5 MILES

SOUTH OF FORT COBB RESERVOIR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ALBERT...BINGER...FORT COBB

  RESERVOIR AND LOOKEBA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES. IF POSSIBLE...MOVE

TO A BASEMENT OR STORM SHELTER. OTHERWISE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM OR

HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND OUTSIDE

WALLS.

Tornado Signature near Hobart, OK

437 

WFUS54 KOUN 072142

TOROUN

OKC075-072215-

/O.NEW.KOUN.TO.W.0082.111107T2142Z-111107T2215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK

342 PM CST MON NOV 7 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

  CENTRAL KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 415 PM CST

* AT 342 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE

  THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF

  HOBART...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE GOTEBO AND HOBART.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES. IF POSSIBLE...MOVE

TO A BASEMENT OR STORM SHELTER. OTHERWISE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM OR

HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND OUTSIDE

WALLS.

&&

LAT...LON 3511 9911 3512 9879 3485 9914 3496 9927

TIME...MOT...LOC 2142Z 222DEG 32KT 3497 9912

$$

Tornado Spotted near Snyder, OK

701 

WFUS54 KOUN 072127

TOROUN

OKC031-075-141-072215-

/O.NEW.KOUN.TO.W.0081.111107T2127Z-111107T2215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK

327 PM CST MON NOV 7 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

  NORTHWESTERN COMANCHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...

  SOUTHEASTERN KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...

  NORTHERN TILLMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 415 PM CST

* AT 327 PM CST...RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS OBSERVED A TORNADO NEAR

  SNYDER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE MOUNTAIN PARK...SNYDER...

  SOUTHEASTERN TOM STEED RESERVOIR AND WESTERN WICHITA MOUNTAINS

  WILDLIFE REFUGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES. IF POSSIBLE...MOVE

TO A BASEMENT OR STORM SHELTER. OTHERWISE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM OR

HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND OUTSIDE

WALLS.

&&

LAT...LON 3465 9908 3469 9904 3470 9905 3505 9862

      3481 9861 3454 9891

TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 219DEG 33KT 3467 9892

$$

Tornadic Thunderstorms Erupting over Oklahoma- Check Facebook For Updates

Hook storm is likely a tornado

Tornadic thunderstorms are rapidly developing across the Oklahoma/Texas region, and these thunderstorms are very intense at this time. If you live around the cities shown above, take cover now. This is very dangerous.

Severe Weather Threat Starts Off Workweek

Overall Threat

Tornado Threat

There is a risk of severe weather today and tomorrow, despite being in early November. Did you know that this period in early November is considered a 'second tornado season', when tornadoes strike a bit more often than usual? Well, this system appears to fall into that category, with a 10% chance for a tornado on the Texas/Oklahoma border. That 10% is considered fairly high, so I would expect a report of a funnel cloud. That chance is dimmed, however, by the fact of how that 10% area is so small.
A slight risk of severe weather has set up across much of Texas and Oklahoma, something that may give the exceptionally dry state of Texas some much needed rain.

Couple Wet Days to Lay Down 3+ Inches of Rain Across Central US

HPC 12z rainfall estimates through next 5 days

3z SREF rainfall estimates through next 87 hours

The SREF model and HPC agency are both indicating the Midwest and Plains will be going through a very wet start to the work week. This comes as a low pressure system will lift north from Oklahoma and into the Illinois region.
We anticipate this, if it were to verify (come true), that there would be flooding issues in the areas most affected.