Note: This is a new idea I had for delivering text-based messages about long range risks (varying by season) to the public. This is an example of what would be issued (while it's an example, the information is an actual forecast). Feedback is welcome.
Outlook valid for the next 15-20 days.
Overall Synopsis
Closed low coming onshore in the Pacific Northwest will allow prolonged high pressure development in the Plains, eventually extending into the Midwest. Closed low eventually is torn up and leads to zonal flow across the United States before re-emergence of prolonged high pressure development,
Severe Weather Outlook: Low/Medium Activity
Closed low entering Pacific Northwest will allow severe weather opportunities in the Southern Plains, limited only to Texas and New Mexico into Colorado at this time. Northern Plains may become involved for a short period with low expectations in a couple of days. Long range outlook becomes quiet as zonal flow takes over before the risk of severe weather goes on the upswing as we enter prolonged ridging over the Plains.
Heat Outlook: High Activity
Two periods of prolonged high pressure formation in the Plains and portions of Midwest will lead to increased flows of heat north into mainly the Plains area. Eventual zonal flow and long range Death Ridge formation potential may allow this heat to openly enter much of the nation. Long range outlook remains unusually toasty in this scenario.
Tropical Outlook: Low Activity
Lack of enhanced tropical convection over the Atlantic basin will not permit any sustained tropical cyclone formation. Current area of interest (Invest 93) is moving on land, and next chance at development appears to be over 10 days away.
Andrew
Outlook valid for the next 15-20 days.
Overall Synopsis
Closed low coming onshore in the Pacific Northwest will allow prolonged high pressure development in the Plains, eventually extending into the Midwest. Closed low eventually is torn up and leads to zonal flow across the United States before re-emergence of prolonged high pressure development,
Severe Weather Outlook: Low/Medium Activity
Closed low entering Pacific Northwest will allow severe weather opportunities in the Southern Plains, limited only to Texas and New Mexico into Colorado at this time. Northern Plains may become involved for a short period with low expectations in a couple of days. Long range outlook becomes quiet as zonal flow takes over before the risk of severe weather goes on the upswing as we enter prolonged ridging over the Plains.
Heat Outlook: High Activity
Two periods of prolonged high pressure formation in the Plains and portions of Midwest will lead to increased flows of heat north into mainly the Plains area. Eventual zonal flow and long range Death Ridge formation potential may allow this heat to openly enter much of the nation. Long range outlook remains unusually toasty in this scenario.
Tropical Outlook: Low Activity
Lack of enhanced tropical convection over the Atlantic basin will not permit any sustained tropical cyclone formation. Current area of interest (Invest 93) is moving on land, and next chance at development appears to be over 10 days away.
Andrew