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Great Lakes Under Fire From Severe Weather Today

Overall Severe Risk

Risk of Hail

The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a few areas of severe weather potential today, the most prominent areas being in the Great Lakes and Northeast. However, there is a heightened risk of hail in Texas.

It can be expected that showers and storms will develop later into the afternoon in the Great Lakes regions, starting out as supercells. Eventually, these supercells will align to form bowing segments, capable of damaging winds and potentially large hail. These supercells are unlikely to be tornadic, but some rotation does appear to be possible.

As the same cold front extends farther south, there will be a risk for more strong showers and thunderstorms, with hail being the main risk. Thus, strong updrafts and instability can be expected within this region. With the massive heat wave currently engulfing the eastern US, this cool front will be relief for many down South.

A disturbance is in the Northeast region, and should be able to provoke various showers and storms, some of which could be on the stronger side.

Andrew

May 28, 2012 Chase Spot

Initiation of storms should begin in eastern Iowa today. There is a cap over the atmosphere in much of the northern half of Illinois, while the initiation area is free to rise. However, due to worry that cells may not be fully developed right after initiation, I am going to keep the chase spot in western Illinois.

Chase Spot is Morrison, Illinois.
Confidence: Moderate