Friday, December 3, 2010

STORMTRACKER



This is the STORMTRACKER, where we track major storms going on in the US or Europe.

So, for this edition, we are focusing on the Clipper moving across the Midwest laying down pretty significant snows.

The below image is courtesy of the Rapid Refresh Model from the FSL. It shows total accumulations from now into the distant future.

This doesn't include the past snowfall that was laid down.
So these totals look mighty interesting.
The clipper will weaken as it moves through. The below image is courtesy of the Weather Channel.
I still think Chicago will be in the 3-6 inch range from lake effect.

Potential Snowstorm Lower GL Update

Image courtesy of the NWS.
Averages of several forecasts indicate that the least for the area will be 3.2 inches
The most could be 4.5 inches.
The average is 3.9 inches.

Potential Snowstorm Lower GL Final Update #4


The images below will explain why this is the final update. Images courtesy of NWS

Thursday, December 2, 2010

Potential Snowstorm Lower GL Update #3 Part 3


This is the third part of the likely snowstorm for the lower GL.
Below is the table of contents.
1. Additional Images from NWS
2. Model Runs
3. Recap

1. Additional Images from NWS

2. Model Runs (courtesy of NCEP and NEXLAB and e-WALL)

WRF----
The WRF says that the storm will come in just a tad weaker, but still stick around the Chicago/Milwaukee area for a while, still enough to produce very nice accumulations.

GFS----
The GFS reports the same thing as the WRF. Very very similar.

UKMET----
The UKMET puts some more strength and organization into the storm.

CMC----
The CMC shows the storm entering the Illinois area a bit south from Rockford, but still putting in some good snow totals.

WRF vs. AVN----
The AVN shows the storm coming in quicker than the WRF. But they both show the storm putting out good totals.

12-ensemble run----
12 out of 12 ensembles show precipitation occurring from the clipper.
11 of the ensembles show snow occurring.
1 of the ensembles show rain or ice occurring.

Conclusion- Snow will occur, with probably 5 or 6 inches.

Potential Snowstorm Lower GL Update #3 Part 2

This is part two of the Possible snowstorm.
Below is a table of contents.
The rest will be published in Part 3

1. HPC Forecasts


1. The following are images from the HPC. To see what they are, read the title.