Tuesday, June 21, 2011

June 21: Tornado Warning- Modena, WI/MN border



...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN BUFFALO AND
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL WABASHA COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

AT 321 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO LOCATED NEAR TELL...OR 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF ALMA...MOVING
NORTH AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  MODENA AROUND 330 PM...
  URNE AROUND 335 PM...
  MISHA MOKWA AROUND 340 PM...
  MAXVILLE AROUND 345 PM...
  THE BIG SWAMP AREA AROUND 350 PM...

June 21: Tornado Warning- Berlin, WI


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN GREEN LAKE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
  NORTHEASTERN MARQUETTE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT

* AT 323 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PRINCETON...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  BERLIN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BERLIN.

June 21: Tornado Warning- Green Lake, WI


...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN GREEN LAKE...
WESTERN FOND DU LAC AND NORTH CENTRAL DODGE COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM
CDT...

AT 323 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BRANDON...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST
OF WAUPUN...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RIPON...BERLIN...BRANDON...GREEN LAKE...FAIRWATER AND WEST
  ROSENDALE.

June 21: Tornado Warning- St. Paul Park, MN


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTH CENTRAL DAKOTA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 245 PM CDT

* AT 216 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
  TORNADO. THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM WAS NEAR ROSEMOUNT...
  OR OVER ROSEMOUNT...AND MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  ROSEMOUNT...
  ST PAUL PARK...
  INVER GROVE HEIGHTS...
  EAGAN...
  NEWPORT...
  SUNFISH...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON RADAR...IT MEANS THAT
STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY ALREADY
BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY.

June 21: Mesoscale Discussion- South Half of WI, North Half of IL, East IA, Southeast MN

Begin SPC Discussion

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1337
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1145 AM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MN...ERN IA...MUCH OF SRN WI...CNTRL AND NRN
   IL
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 211645Z - 211915Z
   
   A GENERAL INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE IS EXPECTED THIS
   AFTERNOON...AND A WATCH MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED.
   
   SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A LOW OVER WRN IA...WITH A BROADLY CONFLUENT
   WARM SECTOR WITH THETA-E AXIS FROM SERN MN INTO NRN IL. MORNING
   SOUNDINGS SHOWED EFFECTS OF EARLY CONVECTION WITH SOMEWHAT DRY JUST
   ABOVE THE SURFACE TO ABOUT 850 MB.
   
   AREAS OF HEATING...ALONG WITH GENERALLY CONVERGENT LOW
   LEVELS...SHOULD RESULT IN AN ARC OF CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON.OTHER
   STORMS ARE LIKELY TO GENERATE/STRENGTHEN NEAR THE WARM FRONT. WIND
   PROFILES VEER WITH HEIGHT BUT ARE GENERALLY MARGINAL...YET
   SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS. MARGINAL HAIL WITH RELATIVELY WARM MID
   LEVELS...AND A FEW TORNADOES GIVEN SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR...WILL
   BE POSSIBLE. A FEW NWD MOVING BOWS MAY MATERIALIZE WITH TIME WITH
   DAMAGING WIND THREAT.
End SPC Discussion
Begin The Weather Centre Discussion

Strong low is moving into vicinity with warm front pulling into Wisconsin. Warm sector has pulled  up into the area below warm front.
Do expect scattered convection to become organized into bowing sectors and possibly clusters that may be supportive of supercell activity.