Friday, October 7, 2011

Todays rainfall totals could go above 1.6 inches http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_94qwbg.gif
Over 10 inches of rain possible for the southern plains in next 5 days http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i12.gif

Rainfall Forecast for East US- Tropical System

We have made a map detailing where rain may fall and giving a generalization of where the models currently project this system to go. The NOGAPS/ECMWF are identical in their solutions, having the storm ride the coast instead of go inland. At this point, we are not ruling out any possibilities as it is still several days out, so there remains a lack of knowledge.

October 7- Place to Be

Today's Place to Be is Mansfield, Tennessee


Thursday, October 6, 2011

Where could this potential tropical system go next week?

We have devised a rough sketch of what this potential tropical system could do next week, track-wise. We believe one solution is for the system to make landfall somewhere between Georgia and Virginia and move inland, or the system to ride the coast the entire way. Either solution puts out some pretty hefty rainfall total potentials for the East Coast/Florida, as seen in this post.