Saturday, November 20, 2010

Current Warniongs

The purple, pink are w9inter weather advisoryies.

Potential Great Lakes Snow Update #8

November 23rd is saying that we will get rain, maybe a storm.

November 25th is no longer saying that there is a sure chance of snow. Now it is saying about rain and maybe a touch of ice. This is a MAJOR change. However, it is the thickness that says it. I will be running as many models as i can, if i can.

But I am really surprised. After days of indicating snow, the thickness suddenly draws back.

I'll have to keep analyzing this.

Potential Southeast Rain Event Update #1

Good morning! Hope you've all had your morning cup of coffee.

Let's get to it. I've been monitoring the Southeast for the entire week. I have not wavered off on it.

My findings are that an intense cold front will move through the Southeast area. I would not be surprised to find that it turns to a squall line.

That's really all it's shown is that.

So we will end the update with confidence of strong storms possible and downpours almost certain in the Southeast associated with a cold front this Thanksgiving week.

Maybe another update tomorrow.

Potential Great Lakes Snow Update #7

Good morning everyone! It's Saturday. And although the football teams aren't playing today, the weather always changes. So let's get started.

The GFS is sticking with the possibility of sticking snow in North Illinois, and possibly a very nice storm in Wisconsin. Ah, did you see the pun???? Ah??? Yeah, it wasn't a good one. I did not intend that.

Moving on! Another meteorologist is analyzing it as a potent weather system. Why? I'm not sure. I bet he's checking other models and ensembles.

I have just checked the Probability for precipitation for November 25th. It shows that Wisconsin AND us will have the majority of the same chances for precip. Although Wisconsin has just a SMALL TINT of more precip by the lake, all other chances for precip are same.

Well, that's about all the info I have right now.


Friday, November 19, 2010

Potential Great Lakes Snow Update #6

Good evening everyone! So, it's been 4 hours since I last updated you guys and gals with the latest GFS run. Well, it's been updated again, so here I am to break the news to you.

So, let's start off with who's supposed to get the worst of this.
The thickness will be right all over the Lakes, so no worries for ice and/or rain.
WISCONSIN!!! They will be receiving the brunt of the snow.
I cannot find an accumulation map so far in the future, so i'll estimate that this could be a pretty nice storm. Maybe 6 inches in the Wisconsin area, 8 inches in some spots.

The NWS forecast itself is honestly putting itself in to my forecast.
I did not look at it before I issued all these updates.

Anyways, continuing, I guess thickness does not create all the confidence.

By the way, Wisconsin people, expect freezing rain up north. Watch out.

This has been the 6th update to the possible Great Lakes snow event. Tomorrow morning, there will be another update.