ENSO Forecast for Spring And Summer coming out at 11:00 AM CST

Presidents Day Publishing Schedule

Presidents day is coming up, and here is the schedule for posting:

-Personal Spring Severe Weather Forecasts
-StormTrack posts

February 18-20 Snow Event (2/18/12)

I am keeping with the same amounts I called for yesterday, as amounts still look to total very close to what I have forecasted here. I do think that there is now a chance for the eastern portion of the 6-10 inch forecast area to be cut off a bit into a 3-6 inch area, with isolated 6-9 inch totals.
I still think that some minimal icing could occur, with maximum ice accumulations topping out at 0.10''.
My forecast yesterday was based off the NAM because I had little time to see the models. The NAM, which has shown to overdo snowfall amounts, actually falls into place fairly well with the 0z GFS, except for the snowfall close to the coast. I feel that amounts will likely end up a tad lower than what I have shown above due to water enhancement to help some of that snow possibly turn to icy conditions, or more likely, a wetter and thus lower amount of snowfall.

Any questions can be posted below.
-Andrew

-PNA/+NAO Combo Looking Unfavorable for Snow

The 12z model suite is indicating that the window of opportunity for February potential snowfall is closing. The PNA is looking to drop into a raging negative phase, and the NAO looks to move towards a moderate positive phase. This combination is not a good sign for snow lovers.
Additionally, the 12z GFS ensembles appear to be showing the infamous polar vortex re-forming over north Canada, which would only continue to delay or even cancel any further snowstorms.

Amber Alert- Feb. 17, 2012- Re-Issued for South Illinois

Child Abduction Emergency

ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-180130-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
CHILD ABDUCTION EMERGENCY
CHILD ABDUCTION EMERGENCY AT THE REQUEST OF THE PALATINE, IL
POLICE DEPARTMENT.
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
519 PM CST FRI FEB 17 2012

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE CHILD
ABDUCTION EMERGENCY AT THE REQUEST OF THE PALATINE, IL POLICE
DEPARTMENT..

AT THE REQUEST OF THE PALATINE POLICE DEPARTMENT, THE ILLINOIS
EMERGENCY ALERT SYSTEM IS ACTIVATED FOR AN AMBER ALERT.

A CHILD...ERIBERTO PEREZ...WAS ABDUCTED FROM 430 WEST PALATINE
ROAD...APARTMENT NUMBER 1...PALATINE ILLINOIS LAST NIGHT...FEBRUARY
16...2012 AT 830 PM.

ERIBERTO PEREZ IS AN 8 YEAR OLD WHITE MALE...WHO IS 4 FOOT 10 INCHES
TALL...AND WEIGHS 100 POUNDS. HE HAS BLACK HAIR AND BROWN EYES. HE
IS WEARING A GRAY HOODED SWEATSHIRT...RED SHIRT WITH BLACK
SLEEVES...AND BLUE JEANS. THE CHILD WAS TAKEN BY WILLIAM CRUZ...WHO
IS A 30 YEAR OLD MALE WHITE. HE IS 5 FOOT 11 INCHES TALL...AND
WEIGHS 180 POUNDS.  HE HAS BLACK HAIR IN A CREW CUT...AND BROWN
EYES. HE IS WEARING A GRAY AND WHITE HOODED SWEATSHIRT...BLACK JEANS
AND WHITE NIKE GYM SHOES. HE HAS A TATTOO ON HIS RIGHT WRIST AND
ALSO HIS LEFT ARM. THE VEHICLE IS A SILVER 2001 CHRYSLER 4 DOOR...
WITH ILLINOIS LICENSE P...5...3...0...1...1...8.

ANYONE WITH INFORMATION SHOULD CALL 9-1-1 AND ADVISE THEY HAVE AN
AMBER ALERT REPORT.  THIS CONCLUES THIS AMBER ALERT ISSUED BY THE
ILLINOIS STATE POLICE.

$$