Potential GL Snowstorm Models Update #1

0000Z GFS: 11/12 SNOW, 12/12 PRECIP, 1/12 MIX

0000Z CMC: 4/16 SNOW, 10/16 PRECIP, 3/16 MIX, 3/16 RAIN

0600Z GFS: 11/12 SNOW, 11/12 PRECIP

1200Z GFS: 9/12 SNOW, 11/12 PRECIP, 2/12 MIX

1800Z GFS: 11/12 SNOW, 12/12 PRECIP, 1/12 MIX

COMBINED ENSEMBLE STATISTICS: Out of 64

56 indicate PRECIPITATION

46 indicate SNOW

7 indicate MIX

3 indicate RAIN

Chance of PRECIP: 88%

Chance of SNOW: 72%

Chance of MIX: 11%

Chance of RAIN: 5%

MODELS:

CMC----

The CMC indicates a strike on Chicago and Milwaukee. It shows the same set-up as this weekend's storm in the Lower GL, except this time, the models show it veering slightly into Chicago and not out as much towards the Quad Cities, Iowa.

Thickness remains fine, and Relative Humidity centered in Western Illinois again. However, it is still affecting most of the area around the GL.

NOGAPS----

The NOGAPS shows the clipper-like system completely missing the Quad Cities, Chicago and barreling into the Upper Great Lakes as a weak system but stronger by the lakes.

Relative Humidity and Thickness fine for the Upper GL.

GFS----

The GFS shows Madison, Milwaukee, and all of Wisconsin facing the storm head on while clipping North Illinois. However, RH (Relative Humidity) will be conductive for the entire East Illinois area. Thickness will be fine.

TOTAL STATISTICS: out of 67

58 indicate PRECIPITATION

48 indicate SNOW

7 indicate MIX

3 indicate RAIN

Chance of PRECIP: 87%

Chance of SNOW: 72%

Chance of MIX: 10%

Chance of RAIN: 5%