URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 371 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1230 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS MISSOURI BOOTHEEL NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI WESTERN TENNESSEE EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CDT. ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER... THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS TO 50 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF JACKSON TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 367...WW 368...WW 369...WW 370... DISCUSSION...TSTM INITIATION IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT ONE TO TWO HOURS WITHIN BROADLY CONFLUENT LOW-LEVEL FLOW REGIME IN PLACE ACROSS AR. HERE...AIR MASS IS ALREADY MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE OF 2500 J/KG WITH FURTHER DESTABILIZATION EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. THIS INSTABILITY AXIS COINCIDES WITH A 60-70 KT MIDLEVEL JET STREAK AND 40-50 KT LLJ...RESULTING IN VERY STRONG LOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ACROSS THE BROAD WARM SECTOR. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT ONE OR MULTIPLE FAST-MOVING BANDS OF SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING WITH A THREAT FOR TORNADOES...SOME POTENTIAL STRONG TO VIOLENT AND LONG-TRACKED...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
Wednesday, May 25, 2011
May 25: PDS Tornado Watch #371
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