Europe will be in probably the same state as last year.
The big question is whether the expected La Nina will be 'East-Based' or 'West-Based'. Last year, there was a strong East Based La Nina. That made south Europe be cold, and SE Europe had above average precipitation, while north Europe had a less harsh winter than 2009-2010.
Right now, it's too far out to tell, but because it will likely be a La Nina that happens this winter, we will go with an East Based La Nina.
Another edition will be released this fall.
The big question is whether the expected La Nina will be 'East-Based' or 'West-Based'. Last year, there was a strong East Based La Nina. That made south Europe be cold, and SE Europe had above average precipitation, while north Europe had a less harsh winter than 2009-2010.
Right now, it's too far out to tell, but because it will likely be a La Nina that happens this winter, we will go with an East Based La Nina.
Another edition will be released this fall.
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