July 14: Mesoscale Discussion #1615

Words to know:
MLCAPE: A form of instability.
CINH: Atmospheric storm-suppressing warm air layer over the cool air.
Shear: Different directions and speeds in wind in the atmosphere layers.
MCS: Mesoscale (large area) Convective (storms) System. A large area of storms.
Low Level Jet (LLJ): A nocturnal, smaller jet stream area in lower atmosphere levels similar to the big jet stream.

A FEW STORMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF N-CNTRL CO WITH
   COVERAGE AND INTENSITY EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 
   CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A WW.
   
   STRONG INSOLATION IN COMBINATION WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER
   50S/LOWER 60S ALONG THE FOOTHILLS IS RESULTING IN MODERATELY
   UNSTABLE CONDITIONS /MLCAPE OF 1000 J/KG/ AND WEAKENING CINH. THE
   N-CNTRL CO PROFILER IS INDICATING AROUND 30 KTS OF DEEP-LAYER
   SHEAR...WHICH WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS POSING A
   THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  AS THE STORMS MOVE EWD
   INTO THE PLAINS...THE ENVIRONMENT APPEARS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR
   UPSCALE GROWTH INTO AN MCS ESPECIALLY INTO SWRN NEB AS THE LOW-LEVEL
   JET STRENGTHENS OVERNIGHT.