Showing posts with label Tropical Storm Don. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tropical Storm Don. Show all posts
Friday, July 29, 2011
Tropical Storm Don: How will Don affect the Texas Drought?
The big question throughout Don's existence has been what it will do to the Texas drought.
The thing is, is that the Texas drought is hard as a rock right now. With torrential rainfall in South Texas, all of the water will just flow off the ground since the ground is so hard it cannot absorb the rain. What's needed is a light, continuous rain that will soak into the ground.
There will be significant rain mainly in North Mexico, while Texas will get a very small amount.
In summary, it won't affect the Texas drought majorly.
The thing is, is that the Texas drought is hard as a rock right now. With torrential rainfall in South Texas, all of the water will just flow off the ground since the ground is so hard it cannot absorb the rain. What's needed is a light, continuous rain that will soak into the ground.
There will be significant rain mainly in North Mexico, while Texas will get a very small amount.
In summary, it won't affect the Texas drought majorly.
July 29 Morning Update: Don heads south
Over the night, models began to shift Don further south so that he impacts the southern tip of Texas. Don has strengthened overnight and changed speed.
Since Don pushes the rainfall further south with every shift south and Don is small storm at that, rainfall amounts have significantly decreased in areas that used to be in the line of fire yesterday.
While that chart doesn't give a legend to the colors on the map, we can tell that Mexico will likely get the majority of the rain, with only some portions of Texas getting a bit of rainfall.
Since Don pushes the rainfall further south with every shift south and Don is small storm at that, rainfall amounts have significantly decreased in areas that used to be in the line of fire yesterday.
While that chart doesn't give a legend to the colors on the map, we can tell that Mexico will likely get the majority of the rain, with only some portions of Texas getting a bit of rainfall.
Thursday, July 28, 2011
Tropical Storm Don: July 28 Evening Models Overview
Most models are coming together to say south Texas will be impacted in a direct hit fashion but effects will be felt in some areas more north. That's is more up in the air though.
You can see all information on Don by clicking below on the label Tropical Storm Don or clicking on the image at the top of the page called 'Track The Storm'.
July 28: Tropical Storm Warning- Corpus Christi, TX
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST... .NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED FOR THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST AND MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...MCMULLEN...LIVE OAK...BEE...GOLIAD...VICTORIA... DUVAL...JIM WELLS...KLEBERG...NUECES...SAN PATRICIO...ARANSAS... REFUGIO AND CALHOUN. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SPECIFIED AREAS. ALL PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREAS SHOULD ALREADY HAVE PREPARATIONS UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. IN ORDER TO MAKE THE BEST DECISIONS...BE SURE THAT YOU UNDERSTAND THE TERMINOLOGY AND DEFINITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE EVENTS. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.1N...LONGITUDE 90.1W. THIS WAS ABOUT 500 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARANSAS TX...OR ABOUT 490 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PORT O`CONNOR TX. STORM MOTION WAS NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED. A MORE DETAILED STATEMENT WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE PLAN SPECIFIC TO YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. IT IS IMPORTANT TO ACTIVELY LISTEN FOR FORTHCOMING INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY. MARINERS ARE URGED TO MAKE ALL NECESSARY PREPARATIONS TO RETURN TO PORT...SEEK SAFE HARBOR...AND SECURE THEIR CRAFT. NOW IS THE TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN FOR TROPICAL SYSTEMS. MONITOR WEATHER BROADCASTS FOR CHANGES TO THE LATEST FORECAST AND LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI SHORTLY. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA.
July 28: Tropical Storm Warning- Quintana, TX
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE UPPER TEXAS COAST... .NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LAND LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND THE UPPER TEXAS BAYS AND COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...JACKSON...MATAGORDA AND BRAZORIA. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE UPPER TEXAS BAYS AND COASTAL WATERS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SPECIFIED AREAS. ALL PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREAS SHOULD ALREADY HAVE PREPARATIONS UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. IN ORDER TO MAKE THE BEST DECISIONS...BE SURE THAT YOU UNDERSTAND THE TERMINOLOGY AND DEFINITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE EVENTS. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 9 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.1N...LONGITUDE 90.1W. THIS WAS ABOUT 480 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MATAGORDA TX...OR ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FREEPORT TX. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED. A MORE DETAILED STATEMENT WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH OR WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN SPECIFIC TO YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. FOR THOSE NEARBY...REVIEW YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN AND BECOME READY TO ACT IF A WATCH OR A WARNING IS LATER ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IT IS IMPORTANT TO ACTIVELY LISTEN FOR FORTHCOMING INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY. MARINERS ARE URGED TO MAKE ALL NECESSARY PREPARATIONS TO RETURN TO PORT...SEEK SAFE HARBOR...AND SECURE THEIR CRAFT. NOW IS THE TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN FOR TROPICAL SYSTEMS. MONITOR WEATHER BROADCASTS FOR CHANGES TO THE LATEST FORECAST AND LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON SHORTLY. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA. TXZ235>237-291500- /O.UPG.KHGX.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KHGX.TR.W.1004.110728T1449Z-000000T0000Z/ JACKSON-MATAGORDA-BRAZORIA- 949 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2011 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
July 28: Tropical Storm Watch- Corpus Christi, TX
TROPICAL STORM DON LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 538 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2011 ...TROPICAL STORM DON CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO... .NEW INFORMATION... THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK HAS SHIFTED A BIT FURTHER SOUTH. IF THIS TRACK HOLDS TRUE...THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE THE BRUNT OF TROPICAL STORM DON. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. .WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... MCMULLEN...LIVE OAK...BEE...GOLIAD...VICTORIA...DUVAL...JIM WELLS...KLEBERG...NUECES...SAN PATRICIO...ARANSAS...REFUGIO AND CALHOUN. FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. .STORM INFORMATION... AT 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0N...LONGITUDE 88.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 620 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARANSAS TX...OR ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PORT OCONNOR TX. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 40 MPH. .SITUATION OVERVIEW... AT THIS TIME...EXPECT AN INCREASING THREAT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL BEGINNING AS EARLY AS FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. THESE THREATS WILL THEN SHIFT INLAND FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING WHERE RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTALS NEAR 5 INCHES POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF THE STORM`S TRACK. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY SOMEWHERE WITHIN SOUTH TEXAS...LOCALIZED FLOODING AND MINOR FLOODING OF AREA BEACHES. .PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. && .NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI AROUND 11 AM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. TXZ242>247-291045- /O.CON.KCRP.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN- 538 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2011 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM DON. MUCH DEPENDS ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST. HOWEVER...BARRIER ISLAND BEACHES WILL LIKELY BE INUNDATED WITH WATER REACHING INTO THE DUNES AND FLOODING ACCESS ROADS.
Wednesday, July 27, 2011
Tropical Storm DON Bulletin 1- July 27
...TROPICAL STORM DON FORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.2N 87.0W ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM N OF COZUMEL MEXICO ABOUT 755 MI...1220 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DON. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS COAST TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST. DON IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DON SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...AND APPROACH THE COAST OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO FRIDAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTERS IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
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