Showing posts with label Tropical Storm Don. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tropical Storm Don. Show all posts

Friday, July 29, 2011

July 29: Don About to make Landfall

If you look closely, you can see the 'eye' of Don is very small and just to the right of the area around Corpus Christi, TX
Don's rain bands are making their way ashore, as are the heaviest rains right now.

Tropical Storm Don: How will Don affect the Texas Drought?

The big question throughout Don's existence has been what it will do to the Texas drought.
The thing is, is that the Texas drought is hard as a rock right now. With torrential rainfall in South Texas, all of the water will just flow off the ground since the ground is so hard it cannot absorb the rain. What's needed is a light, continuous rain that will soak into the ground.
There will be significant rain mainly in North Mexico, while Texas will get a very small amount.
In summary, it won't affect the Texas drought majorly.

July 29 Morning Update: Don heads south

Over the night, models began to shift Don further south so that he impacts the southern tip of Texas. Don has strengthened overnight and changed speed.
Since Don pushes the rainfall further south with every shift south and Don is small storm at that, rainfall amounts have significantly decreased in areas that used to be in the line of fire yesterday.
While that chart doesn't give a legend to the colors on the map, we can tell that Mexico will likely get the majority of the rain, with only some portions of Texas getting a bit of rainfall.

Thursday, July 28, 2011

Tropical Storm Don: Forecast 24 Hour Precipitation for Texas


Tropical Storm Don: July 28 Evening Models Overview


Most models are coming together to say south Texas will be impacted in a direct hit fashion but effects will be felt in some areas more north. That's is more up in the air though.
You can see all information on Don by clicking below on the label Tropical Storm Don or clicking on the image at the top of the page called 'Track The Storm'.

Tropical Storm Don: Rainfall Forecast

Totals from Tropical Storm Don are going to be pretty high, up to 4 inches in a line in South Texas.
You can see all other information on Don by checking out the label below called Tropical Storm Don, or click the image at the top of the page saying 'track the storm'.

July 28: Tropical Storm Warning- Corpus Christi, TX


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST...

.NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED FOR THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COAST AND MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...MCMULLEN...LIVE OAK...BEE...GOLIAD...VICTORIA...
DUVAL...JIM WELLS...KLEBERG...NUECES...SAN PATRICIO...ARANSAS...
REFUGIO AND CALHOUN.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OF THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SPECIFIED
AREAS.

ALL PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREAS SHOULD ALREADY HAVE
PREPARATIONS UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

IN ORDER TO MAKE THE BEST DECISIONS...BE SURE THAT YOU UNDERSTAND
THE TERMINOLOGY AND DEFINITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE
EVENTS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.1N...LONGITUDE 90.1W. THIS WAS ABOUT 500 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARANSAS TX...OR ABOUT 490 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF PORT O`CONNOR TX. STORM MOTION WAS NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT
14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED. A MORE DETAILED
STATEMENT WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO INITIATE
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE PLAN SPECIFIC TO YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO ACTIVELY LISTEN FOR FORTHCOMING INFORMATION
FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY.

MARINERS ARE URGED TO MAKE ALL NECESSARY PREPARATIONS TO RETURN
TO PORT...SEEK SAFE HARBOR...AND SECURE THEIR CRAFT. NOW IS THE
TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN
FOR TROPICAL SYSTEMS. MONITOR WEATHER BROADCASTS FOR CHANGES TO
THE LATEST FORECAST AND LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI SHORTLY. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT
DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR
POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA.

July 28: Tropical Storm Warning- Quintana, TX


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE UPPER
TEXAS COAST...

.NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LAND LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND THE
UPPER TEXAS BAYS AND COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...JACKSON...MATAGORDA AND BRAZORIA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE UPPER TEXAS BAYS AND COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SPECIFIED
AREAS.

ALL PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREAS SHOULD ALREADY HAVE
PREPARATIONS UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

IN ORDER TO MAKE THE BEST DECISIONS...BE SURE THAT YOU UNDERSTAND
THE TERMINOLOGY AND DEFINITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE
EVENTS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 9 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.1N...LONGITUDE 90.1W. THIS WAS ABOUT 480 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MATAGORDA TX...OR ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
FREEPORT TX. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED. A MORE DETAILED
STATEMENT WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH OR WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO
INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN
SPECIFIC TO YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

FOR THOSE NEARBY...REVIEW YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN AND
BECOME READY TO ACT IF A WATCH OR A WARNING IS LATER ISSUED FOR
YOUR AREA.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO ACTIVELY LISTEN FOR FORTHCOMING INFORMATION
FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY.

MARINERS ARE URGED TO MAKE ALL NECESSARY PREPARATIONS TO RETURN
TO PORT...SEEK SAFE HARBOR...AND SECURE THEIR CRAFT. NOW IS THE
TIME TO INITIATE PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN
FOR TROPICAL SYSTEMS. MONITOR WEATHER BROADCASTS FOR CHANGES TO
THE LATEST FORECAST AND LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON SHORTLY. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT
DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR
POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA.

TXZ235>237-291500-
/O.UPG.KHGX.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KHGX.TR.W.1004.110728T1449Z-000000T0000Z/
JACKSON-MATAGORDA-BRAZORIA-
949 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

July 28: Tropical Storm Watch- Corpus Christi, TX


TROPICAL STORM DON LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
538 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2011

...TROPICAL STORM DON CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST GULF
OF MEXICO...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK HAS SHIFTED A BIT FURTHER SOUTH. IF
THIS TRACK HOLDS TRUE...THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST WILL LIKELY
EXPERIENCE THE BRUNT OF TROPICAL STORM DON.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MCMULLEN...LIVE OAK...BEE...GOLIAD...VICTORIA...DUVAL...JIM
WELLS...KLEBERG...NUECES...SAN PATRICIO...ARANSAS...REFUGIO AND
CALHOUN.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL
OF THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.0N...LONGITUDE 88.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 620 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARANSAS TX...OR ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF PORT OCONNOR TX. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT
10 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AT THIS TIME...EXPECT AN INCREASING THREAT OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL BEGINNING AS EARLY AS
FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. THESE
THREATS WILL THEN SHIFT INLAND FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING WHERE RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 1 TO 3
INCHES WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTALS NEAR 5 INCHES POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF THE STORM`S TRACK. IT IS TOO
EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC
LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT
LEAST DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY SOMEWHERE WITHIN SOUTH
TEXAS...LOCALIZED FLOODING AND MINOR FLOODING OF AREA BEACHES.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI AROUND 11 AM CDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

TXZ242>247-291045-
/O.CON.KCRP.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
538 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM DON. MUCH DEPENDS ON
THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. HOWEVER...BARRIER ISLAND BEACHES WILL LIKELY
BE INUNDATED WITH WATER REACHING INTO THE DUNES AND FLOODING
ACCESS ROADS.

July 28- Morning Atlantic Tropical Storm DON Discussion



Don appears to be on a collision course with South Texas.
This will bring a very big dent into the Texas Drought. It won't cure it, but the drought certainly will recede by some point.

More discussion as more info comes out at noon.

Wednesday, July 27, 2011

Tropical Storm DON Bulletin 1- July 27




...TROPICAL STORM DON FORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.2N 87.0W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM N OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 755 MI...1220 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  INTERESTS IN
THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DON. 
WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS
COAST TONIGHT OR THURSDAY.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST. DON IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H.  A GENERAL
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DON SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...AND
APPROACH THE COAST OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO FRIDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTERS IS
1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.