Indications are that severe winds will be possible considering the latest model output, leading the SPC to put in this risk in association with the squall line that will move through this area later today. The concern is that this line will now produce severe winds, thus the upgrade.
Andrew
9 comments:
Andrew you need to right a biography post or page.
I was thinking they would do this. Big outbreak today. Next week looks dangerous./
Weak pulser coming./
Managed to get outside to take pictures of tstm updraft!
They said MDT was possible yesterday.
I looked at todays hodos for Sunday. East of the southerly jetstreak, there are hodographs indicating splitting, cold-core, embedded, and regular supercells. South Dakota has a splitting and LEWP signiture with downdraft free SKEW-T. Others have at least a isolated supercell profile. Didn't find looping curves(yet).
Anonymous #1: I might eventually do that, but with the severe weather in the near future it isn't a top priority for now.
ERN WX: Thunderstorm updrafts are one of the best cloud formations in nature. Glad you caught one!
Anonymous #2: Sunday into Monday will be pretty dangerous. Thanks for putting it out here.
today, in northeastern iowa, i managed to catch video on camera of lightning. but thats not the best part, i was playing through it in slow motion and was staring danger in the face! about a half a mile away, HUGE CG STRIKE and was looking at the ground returning the charge from the ground up to the cloud, this happened twice! really looking forward to day 4 into day 5 for severe weather potential with increasing confidence!
If that front should flatten out a bit, I would look for a derecho. Given the heat over the south that's building, I might not be surprised to see one form and makes its way across the UMV
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