Development potential in the Atlantic Ocean may increase in due time as the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) cycles towards Phases 8 and 1. These phases are conductive to development as convection is enhanced over the region.
The model solutions still vary, with the ECMWF forecasting a Phase 1 or 2 situation, which wouldn't be too conductive for tropical cyclone development.
Andrew
No comments:
Post a Comment