The Madden-Julian Oscillation has moved itself into a position where it is too weak to significantly impact the weather patterns over the US.
Statistical models show the MJO to stay in this very weak stage for a while, which could help enable the massive heat wave to re-surge back north. This re-surge is actually being shown by the CPC as being possible.
The ECMWF and ECMWF Ensembles are actually pointing back to the MJO moving into Phase 3, which signifies a wet US. However, this will still have to be closely watched to see if it pans out.
Andrew
Statistical models show the MJO to stay in this very weak stage for a while, which could help enable the massive heat wave to re-surge back north. This re-surge is actually being shown by the CPC as being possible.
The ECMWF and ECMWF Ensembles are actually pointing back to the MJO moving into Phase 3, which signifies a wet US. However, this will still have to be closely watched to see if it pans out.
Andrew
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