March 18 RUC Best Lifted Index Forecast Discussion

This is an image of the 00z RUC model Best Lifted Index 12 hours out.

FORECAST DISCUSSION

Instability will be present across the South Central US tonight into tomorrow morning. Due to this instability, I would not be surprised to see some spotty strong to severe storms along a cold front and low pressure system currently working their way across the US.

With index numbers down to -6, the atmosphere will be stable, but this is morning after all. Tonight's index numbers go as low as -8, which is considered fairly to moderately unstable. In summary, I do expect at least some more storms to develop, likely pop-up storms and not in an organized pattern.

With values in the 10-15 range above 0 up in the Midwest, I certainly don't expect much of anything to occur tonight into tomorrow morning.

That's all for tonight, keep an eye out for more discussions tomorrow.