Ensemble Models called Spaghetti Models have shifted westward over the course of today. Emily has become stationary over the Hispaniola area. Below is critical information regarding Emily.
Strength: 50 MPH (Moderate Tropical Storm)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars.
Current Movement: STATIONARY
Emily is indeed stationary over the Haiti region, providing a life-threatening situation for thousands of people. Should Emily remain stationary, she could induce a truly horrific flash flooding event in Haiti, even as victims of the January 2010 earthquake remain living in tents on sides of hills, where landslides could occur.
Those spaghetti models above have all shifted west. Some have really moved west into the Gulf of Mexico, but most have shifted a fair amount west, with some models making landfall on Florida now.
We will continue watching Emily for further information, and you can count on us for timely updates on TS Emily.