I will be coming out with a piece concerning the Lezak Recurring Cycle later on, as something is peaking my interest in coming weeks.
Today's Featured Posts: Damage from Moore, Oklahoma Tornado - May 20, 2013 and Real-Time Updates - Moore, Oklahoma Tornado Damage
Friday, May 4, 2012
Looking over ECMWF, ECMWF Ensemble MSLP forecasts yield nothing of major concern. However, looking over the GFS brings up a low pressure system that appears to be stationary over the far southern Gulf of Mexico region. Intensity of this system appears to be low, but nonetheless a stationary system can warrant watching, as we are approaching the start of hurricane season. That said, I have delineated a 'Low' risk area for tropical development over the next week. Because forecasts beyond 4 days are somewhat untrustworthy, this Low risk is on the bottom end of the spectrum.