Friday, March 2, 2012

Tornado Warning (Significant Damage)- West of Billingsley, Alabama


692 
WWUS54 KBMX 030357
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
957 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

ALC001-021-030430-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0026.000000T0000Z-120303T0430Z/
CHILTON AL-AUTAUGA AL-
957 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN AUTAUGA AND
SOUTHEASTERN CHILTON COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CST...

AT 954 PM CST...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A POSSIBLE TORNADO 
WITH SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHEAST 
OF BILLINGSLEY...OR 9 MILES SOUTH OF CLANTON...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  VERBENA...MARBURY...NEW PROSPECT AND COOPER.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBER 200...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL 1-800-856-0758.

LAT...LON 3265 8665 3274 8667 3282 8646 3276 8639
      3275 8639 3274 8642 3271 8641 3268 8641
TIME...MOT...LOC 0356Z 252DEG 46KT 3271 8660

$$

Overnight Tornado Threat Overview

I have updated my evening tornado threat forecast for this evening.
The swath of yellow is indicative of some stronger storms possible/likely as the squall line continues east. The red area is a short term area. As the daytime heating lessens, as does instability, the tornado threat should diminish soon after this happens. Additionally, the storms are going linear, therefore decreasing the tornado threat.
There are some spotty pink areas that are for the cells that are currently tornado warned and would otherwise be just red of those cells were not present.

-Andrew

LIVE Updates

Currently 92 tornado reports per the Storm Prediction Center.
14 Deaths confirmed- total to rise.

Thank You

I wanted to take a minute and thank all those who come to see The Weather Centre. Without your support, this blog really wouldn't be as good as it is now. Thank you again. I really do appreciate it when you comment or even just drop by to see it.

-Andrew

Rest of Afternoon Tornado Outlook

Our in-house weather model is showing the tornado threat for the rest of this evening to reside mainly across Kentucky and Tennessee. What I find startling is that our in-house model is indicating an area of pink in central Tennessee, indicating the risk of stronger tornadoes is present into the rest of this afternoon. After the afternoon storms, everything should quickly diminish into the night.

Tornado Warning- North of Huntsville, Alabama


689 
WWUS54 KOHX 022155
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
355 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012


TNC021-037-187-022215-
/O.CON.KOHX.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-120302T2215Z/
WILLIAMSON TN-CHEATHAM TN-DAVIDSON TN-
355 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DAVIDSON...SOUTHERN
CHEATHAM AND NORTHERN WILLIAMSON COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CST...

AT 350 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PEGRAM...OR 14 MILES SOUTH OF ASHLAND CITY...
MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 70 MPH AND HAIL UP 
TO GOLF BALL SIZE IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BELLE MEADE...OAK HILL AND FOREST HILLS AROUND 400 PM CST.
  NASHVILLE AROUND 405 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE BERRY HILL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3629 8665 3625 8664 3624 8659 3617 8657
      3609 8651 3607 8652 3608 8654 3601 8662
      3591 8663 3592 8720 3616 8717 3617 8715
      3621 8719 3623 8717 3624 8719 3626 8718
      3635 8673
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 260DEG 57KT 3609 8697

$$

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE- TAKE COVER!!

LIKELY TORNADO ON THE GROUND

Tornado Warning (Tornado Confirmed)- Nashville, Tennessee


928 
WWUS54 KOHX 022130
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
330 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

TNC043-081-085-022145-
/O.CON.KOHX.TO.W.0023.000000T0000Z-120302T2145Z/
DICKSON TN-HICKMAN TN-HUMPHREYS TN-
330 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL HUMPHREYS...
NORTHERN HICKMAN AND DICKSON COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CST...

AT 327 PM CST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO.  THIS 
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR DICKSON...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  BURNS AROUND 335 PM CST.
  WHITE BLUFF AROUND 340 PM CST.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...LARGE HAIL TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND WINDS TO 
70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3629 8718 3625 8719 3624 8718 3590 8722
      3590 8763 3616 8774 3620 8765 3620 8759
      3618 8757 3622 8754
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 262DEG 53KT 3603 8742

$$

Notice

I am deciding to abruptly stop issuing tornado warnings starting tomorrow.
While I have issued tornado warnings to get out the message, I have noticed that it is more of a clogging device to this blog.
If you think I should continue posting tornado warnings, you may comment below.

Tornado Warning (Tornado Indicated)- Pickens, Kentucky


SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
429 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

SCC073-077-022200-
/O.CON.KGSP.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120302T2200Z/
OCONEE SC-PICKENS SC-
429 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST FOR NORTHERN
PICKENS AND NORTHEASTERN OCONEE COUNTIES...

AT 427 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SALEM...OR 9 MILES 
NORTHEAST OF WALHALLA...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

MOST AT RISK ARE THE AREAS FROM SALEM TO NEAR NINE TIMES TO 
PUMPKINTOWN. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT 
LIMITED TO ROCKY BOTTOM...PICKENS...AND DACUSVILLE. HAIL OF QUARTER 
TO GOLF BALL SIZE WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUILDING AND PUT AS 
MANY WALLS BETWEEN YOU AND THE OUTSIDE AS YOU CAN. MOBILE HOMES 
SHOULD ABANDONED FOR A STURDIER SHELTER.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EST FRIDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND CENTRAL SOUTH
CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3495 8306 3507 8277 3505 8274 3506 8271
      3507 8257 3505 8260 3503 8258 3501 8260
      3501 8254 3490 8251 3480 8296 3483 8304
      3490 8307
TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 248DEG 34KT 3490 8296

$$

Particularly Dangerous Situation Tornado Watch #62


SEL2
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 62
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   420 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EASTERN KENTUCKY
          SOUTHEAST OHIO
          WESTERN VIRGINIA
          WESTERN AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 420 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST.
   
   ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
   
   DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
   THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
   POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
   JACKSON KENTUCKY TO 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PARKERSBURG WEST
   VIRGINIA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 57...WW 58...WW 59...WW
   60...WW 61...
   
   DISCUSSION...MULTIPLE SUPERCELLS WITH A HISTORY OF TORNADOES OVER
   CNTRL KY ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD EWD INTO THE WATCH AREA LATE THIS
   AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT WITHIN EXPANDING WARM SECTOR OF INTENSIFYING
   EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.  THOUGH REGION WILL REMAIN ON THE ERN
   ENVELOPE OF STRONGER INSTABILITY...THE PRESENCE OF VERY STRONG
   VERTICAL SHEAR AND ESTABLISHED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES INDICATES A HIGH
   LIKELIHOOD FOR SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES.  SOME CONSOLIDATION OF
   NRN-MOST SUPERCELLS INTO A FAST-MOVING BOW ECHO SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
   WHICH WOULD SIGNIFICANTLY ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD
   DAMAGING WINDS.  LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUSTAINED
   SUPERCELLS.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.

Particularly Dangerous Situation Tornado Watch #58


SEL8
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 58
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   105 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
          CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
          SOUTHWEST OHIO
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL 900
   PM EST.
   
   ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
   
   DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
   THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
   POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
   DAYTON OHIO TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY.  FOR
   A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 56...WW 57...
   
   DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS DEVELOPING OVER SRN IL AND SERN MO ARE
   EXPECTED TO SPREAD RAPIDLY ENEWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS
   AFTERNOON INTO EVENING WITHIN EXPANDING WARM SECTOR ATTENDANT TO
   STRONG EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.  THE COMBINATION OF A MOIST AND
   MODERATELY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AND VERY STRONG LOW- AND
   DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT INTENSE AND LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS
   CAPABLE OF LONG-TRACKED...SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES.  LARGE HAIL AND
   DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE ALSO LIKELY.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.

Special Analysis - 3:30 PM CST

Numerous tornadic thunderstorms are erupting across the Ohio Valley and areas west of the Appalachian mountains.
Analysis indicates that EHI is at values over 5 in many areas across the Kentucky/Tennessee region.
As we continue throughout the afternoon, the number of storms should continue to grow and become more severe.

Here is what is currently in effect:
-Critical Storm Action Day (CDAS).
-Live Posting

Tornado Warning (Hurricane Force Winds)- Caneyville, Kentucky


007 
WFUS53 KLMK 022111
TORLMK
KYC027-085-093-183-022145-
/O.NEW.KLMK.TO.W.0054.120302T2111Z-120302T2145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
311 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN BRECKINRIDGE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  SOUTHWESTERN HARDIN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  EASTERN OHIO COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
  GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 345 PM CST/445 PM EST/...

* AT 306 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WINDY HILL...MOVING EAST AT 75 MPH.

* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  LEITCHFIELD...
  POST AND SHORT CREEK...
  HANGING ROCK AND LILAC...
  SAINT PAUL AND BIG CLIFTY...
  SUMMIT AND EASTVIEW...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH 
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. SEEK SHELTER NOW!

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3775 8596 3745 8589 3745 8604 3743 8605
      3738 8656 3739 8662 3737 8665 3737 8670
      3757 8676
TIME...MOT...LOC 2111Z 256DEG 68KT 3746 8666

$$

Tornado Warning (Tornado Spotted)- Mount Washington, KY


437 
WFUS53 KLMK 022120
TORLMK
INC061-KYC029-093-111-022145-
/O.NEW.KLMK.TO.W.0055.120302T2120Z-120302T2145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
420 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN BULLITT COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  NORTHERN HARDIN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  SOUTHEASTERN HARRISON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 445 PM EST...

* AT 415 PM EST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR
  WEST POINT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  LOUISVILLE...
  VALLEY STATION...
  OKOLONA...
  FERN CREEK...
  FAIRDALE...
  HIGHVIEW...

WEATHER OBSERVERS REPORTED A TORNADO AT FORT KNOX.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS TORNADO WARNING REPLACES THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING THAT
WAS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME AREA. GO TO A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR!

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3826 8541 3811 8543 3809 8547 3804 8550
      3788 8592 3805 8601
TIME...MOT...LOC 2119Z 245DEG 59KT 3800 8586

$$

Tornado Warning- St. Leon, Indiana


351 
WWUS51 KILN 022119
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
419 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012


INC029-047-OHC061-022145-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120302T2145Z/
FRANKLIN IN-DEARBORN IN-HAMILTON OH-
419 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EST FOR NORTHERN
DEARBORN AND SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST INDIANA...
AND NORTHWESTERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OHIO...

AT 414 PM EST...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
WEISBURG...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS
STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING A TORNADO IN RIPLEY COUNTY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HIDDEN VALLEY...BRIGHT AND HARRISON.

IN ADDITION...GUILFORD...DOVER...ST. LEON...LOGAN...NEW TRENTON...
WEST HARRISON AND ROCKDALE ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. PROTECT YOURSELF
FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES...FUNNEL CLOUDS...STRONG WINDS OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3930 8506 3939 8482 3931 8482 3930 8479
      3918 8477 3912 8500 3912 8510
TIME...MOT...LOC 2119Z 248DEG 47KT 3922 8498

$$

Tornado Emergency (Large, Violent Tornado on Ground)- Walton, Kentucky


185 
WWUS51 KILN 022114
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
414 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

INC155-KYC015-077-117-022130-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120302T2130Z/
SWITZERLAND IN-KENTON KY-BOONE KY-GALLATIN KY-
414 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR NORTHERN GALLATIN...BOONE...KENTON AND
SWITZERLAND COUNTIES...

...TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM EST...

AT 410 PM EST...THE PUBLIC REPORTED DEBRIS FALLING FROM THE SKY IN 
BOONE COUNTY. RADAR INDICATED THAT THE TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS 
MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH...CURRENTLY NEAR WARSAW.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WALTON AND INDEPENDENCE.

IN ADDITION...BIG BONE...RYLE...BEAVERLICK...VERONA...RICHWOOD...
BRACHT...BANK LICK AND RICEDALE ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
I-71 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 68 AND 77 IN KENTUCKY...
I-75 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 167 AND 178 IN KENTUCKY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A LARGE...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY
TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE
TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES...FUNNEL CLOUDS...STRONG WINDS OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3888 8490 3899 8449 3881 8444 3881 8445
      3879 8461 3881 8462 3879 8465 3877 8496
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 256DEG 49KT 3880 8478

$$

Tornado Warning (Strong Rotation)- Richmond Municipal Airport, Kentucky


893 
WWUS51 KILN 022117
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
417 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012


INC177-OHC037-109-113-135-022200-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120302T2200Z/
WAYNE IN-DARKE OH-MIAMI OH-MONTGOMERY OH-PREBLE OH-
417 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST FOR NORTHERN
PREBLE...NORTHERN MONTGOMERY...SOUTHWESTERN MIAMI...SOUTHERN DARKE
AND SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTIES...

AT 414 PM EST...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
RICHMOND MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH. ANOTHER AREA OF 
ROTATION WAS LOCATED NEAR GORDON...ALSO MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH. IN 
ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THESE STORMS ARE ALSO CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
QUARTER INCH HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEW PARIS...EATON...WEST ALEXANDRIA...LEWISBURG...TROTWOOD...
ENGLEWOOD...WEST MILTON...VANDALIA AND TIPP CITY.

IN ADDITION...WEST FLORENCE...NEW HOPE...ELDORADO...OKLAHOMA...WEST
MANCHESTER...CASTINE...ITHACA AND GORDON ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS
STORM.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
I-70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 36 IN OHIO...
I-75 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 59 AND 72 IN OHIO...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. PROTECT YOURSELF
FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES...FUNNEL CLOUDS...STRONG WINDS OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3974 8448 3973 8497 3996 8477 4003 8414
      3983 8415
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 255DEG 55KT 3977 8479

$$

Tornado Warning (History of Tornadoes)- Sparta, Kentucky


897 
WWUS51 KILN 022106
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
406 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

INC155-KYC015-041-077-081-187-022130-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120302T2130Z/
SWITZERLAND IN-OWEN KY-BOONE KY-CARROLL KY-GALLATIN KY-GRANT KY-
406 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM EST FOR WESTERN
GRANT...GALLATIN...CARROLL...SOUTHERN BOONE...NORTHERN OWEN AND
SWITZERLAND COUNTIES...

AT 405 PM EST...RADAR WAS TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH A
HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
INTERSTATE 71 AT MILE MARKER 40...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH. IN ADDITION 
TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZED 
HAIL.

ANOTHER TORNADIC STORM WAS FURTHER TO THE NORTH NEAR VEVAY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CARROLLTON...VEVAY AND WARSAW.

IN ADDITION...PRESTONVILLE...GENERAL BUTLER STATE PARK...BRAYTOWN...
ENGLISH...LANGSTAFF...WORTHVILLE...EASTERDAY AND GHENT ARE NEAR THE
PATH OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES...FUNNEL CLOUDS...STRONG WINDS OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

Tornado Warning (Hook Echo Sighted)- Waverly, Tennessee


897 
WWUS51 KILN 022106
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
406 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

INC155-KYC015-041-077-081-187-022130-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120302T2130Z/
SWITZERLAND IN-OWEN KY-BOONE KY-CARROLL KY-GALLATIN KY-GRANT KY-
406 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM EST FOR WESTERN
GRANT...GALLATIN...CARROLL...SOUTHERN BOONE...NORTHERN OWEN AND
SWITZERLAND COUNTIES...

AT 405 PM EST...RADAR WAS TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH A
HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
INTERSTATE 71 AT MILE MARKER 40...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH. IN ADDITION 
TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZED 
HAIL.

ANOTHER TORNADIC STORM WAS FURTHER TO THE NORTH NEAR VEVAY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CARROLLTON...VEVAY AND WARSAW.

IN ADDITION...PRESTONVILLE...GENERAL BUTLER STATE PARK...BRAYTOWN...
ENGLISH...LANGSTAFF...WORTHVILLE...EASTERDAY AND GHENT ARE NEAR THE
PATH OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES...FUNNEL CLOUDS...STRONG WINDS OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

Potential Tornado- Campbellsburg, KY

448
WFUS53 KLMK 022051
TORLMK
INC019-KYC103-185-223-022115-
/O.NEW.KLMK.TO.W.0051.120302T2051Z-120302T2115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
351 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN HENRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
NORTHEASTERN OLDHAM COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
SOUTHERN TRIMBLE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
EASTERN CLARK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 415 PM EST...

* AT 347 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HIBERNIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
BEDFORD...
MONITOR AND PROVIDENCE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN LOUISVILLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3863 8522 3861 8521 3859 8521 3858 8518
3851 8517 3843 8553 3854 8554 3867 8526
TIME...MOT...LOC 2052Z 245DEG 48KT 3857 8543

$$


--

NWS Warnings Provided by AllisonHouse.com

TORNADO EMERGENCY- CARROLTON, KY

784
WFUS51 KILN 022050
TORILN
INC155-KYC015-041-077-081-187-022130-
/O.NEW.KILN.TO.W.0004.120302T2050Z-120302T2130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
350 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN BOONE COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...
CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...
GALLATIN COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...
WESTERN GRANT COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...
NORTHERN OWEN COUNTY IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY...
SWITZERLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST INDIANA...

* UNTIL 430 PM EST.

* AT 347 PM EST...A LARGE TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND 5 MILES WEST OF
CARROLTON AS REPORTED BY SPOTTERS. RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

THIS IS A TORNADO EMERGENCY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CARROLLTON...
VEVAY...
WARSAW...

IN ADDITION...ANOTHER TORNADIC STORM WILL MOVE INTO AREAS
IMMEDIATELY SOUTH OF THIS STORM OVER THE NEXT HALF HOUR...AFFECTING
NORTHERN OWEN COUNTY AND POSSIBLY INTO NORTHWESTERN GRANT COUNTY.

IN ADDITION...PRESTONVILLE...GENERAL BUTLER STATE PARK...BRAYTOWN...
ENGLISH...LANGSTAFF...WORTHVILLE...EASTERDAY AND GHENT ARE NEAR THE
PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORM.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATE...
I-71 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 40 AND 75 IN KENTUCKY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A LARGE...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY
TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE
TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES...FUNNEL CLOUDS...STRONG WINDS OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EST FRIDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHEASTERN INDIANA AND NORTHEASTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHWESTERN OHIO.

&&

LAT...LON 3873 8524 3870 8521 3874 8521 3889 8464
3859 8458 3851 8503 3856 8501 3857 8504
3856 8507 3859 8509 3858 8521 3863 8523
3871 8532
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 259DEG 45KT 3868 8523

$$


--

NWS Warnings Provided by AllisonHouse.com

Prognosis #2

PDS Tornado Watches have already been issued. Feel that the idea of issuing a CSAD was well warranted. Afternoon live posting starts at 3:20 this afternoon.

PDS Tornado Watch #2

SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 58
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHWEST OHIO

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL 900
PM EST.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
DAYTON OHIO TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 56...WW 57...

DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS DEVELOPING OVER SRN IL AND SERN MO ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD RAPIDLY ENEWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EVENING WITHIN EXPANDING WARM SECTOR ATTENDANT TO
STRONG EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. THE COMBINATION OF A MOIST AND
MODERATELY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AND VERY STRONG LOW- AND
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT INTENSE AND LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF LONG-TRACKED...SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE ALSO LIKELY.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.


...MEAD

Tornado Warning for Bryson City, TN

035
WFUS52 KGSP 021929
TORGSP
NCC075-173-022030-
/O.NEW.KGSP.TO.W.0004.120302T1929Z-120302T2030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
229 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN GRAHAM COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
SWAIN COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 330 PM EST

* AT 224 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 4 MILES
NORTHWEST OF FONTANA VILLAGE...OR 11 MILES NORTH OF ROBBINSVILLE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEWFOUND GAP...
SMOKEMONT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR STURDIER SHELTER.
OTHERWISE...GO TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME
OR PLACE OF BUSINESS. MAKE SURE THERE ARE AS MANY WALLS AND FLOORS
BETWEEN YOU AND THE OUTSIDE AS POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO THREAT...DAMAGING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
GOLF BALLS WILL PRECEDE THE TORNADO. WIND DRIVEN HAIL OF THIS SIZE
POSES A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF INJURY AND DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES AND
VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR STURDIER SHELTER. OTHERWISE...GO TO
AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME OR PLACE OF
BUSINESS.

TO REPORT TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...OR FLOODING...
THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL OUR TOLL FREE NUMBER...
1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3553 8388 3553 8383 3557 8377 3558 8360
3557 8349 3562 8344 3567 8334 3566 8330
3569 8327 3569 8323 3556 8316 3551 8318
3552 8324 3549 8329 3538 8387 3548 8392
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 245DEG 52KT 3551 8378

$$


--

NWS Warnings Provided by AllisonHouse.com

PDS Tornado Watch #1

Tornado Warning for Middlesborough, TN

363
WWUS53 KJKL 021756
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1256 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

KYC013-121-235-021815-
/O.CON.KJKL.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-120302T1815Z/
KNOX KY-WHITLEY KY-BELL KY-
1256 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BELL...SOUTHERN WHITLEY
AND SOUTHERN KNOX COUNTIES UNTIL 115 PM EST...

AT 1251 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CHENOA...OR 8 MILES WEST OF MIDDLESBORO...
MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
FERNDALE...MELDRUM...CLEAR CREEK SPRINGS AND WASIOTO AROUND 100 PM
EST. CALVIN...VARILLA...EAST PINEVILLE AND KETTLE ISLAND AROUND
105 PM EST. BALKA...OAKS...MIRACLE AND CALLAWAY AROUND 110 PM EST.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADO INCLUDE SHELALY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3659 8422 3668 8428 3692 8366 3668 8347
3658 8378
TIME...MOT...LOC 1755Z 248DEG 56KT 3666 8380

$$


--

NWS Warnings Provided by AllisonHouse.com

Tornado Warning for Chattanooga, TN

455
WWUS54 KMRX 021737
SVSMRX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1237 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

TNC065-115-153-021800-
/O.CON.KMRX.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-120302T1800Z/
SEQUATCHIE TN-HAMILTON TN-MARION TN-
1237 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM EST/NOON CST/ FOR
MARION...HAMILTON AND SEQUATCHIE COUNTIES...

AT 1234 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR RED BANK...OR NEAR
CHATTANOOGA...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
HAMILTON...MARION AND SEQUATCHIE COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EST FRIDAY
AFTERNOON/300 PM CST FRIDAY AFTERNOON/ FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
AND CENTRAL TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3498 8560 3512 8570 3531 8499 3513 8503
3501 8500 3498 8502
TIME...MOT...LOC 1737Z 253DEG 48KT 3514 8519

$$


--

NWS Warnings Provided by AllisonHouse.com

Tornado Warning for La Follette, TN

909
WWUS54 KMRX 021709
SVSMRX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1209 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012


TNC013-151-021730-
/O.CON.KMRX.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-120302T1730Z/
SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL TN-
1209 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM EST FOR CAMPBELL
AND SCOTT COUNTIES...

AT 1204 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SLICK ROCK...OR 14
MILES SOUTH OF ONEIDA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
LA FOLLETTE...JACKSBORO...SMOKEY JUNCTION...NORMA...ROYAL BLUE...
CARYVILLE...KETCHEN...ELK VALLEY...FINCASTLE...WHITE OAK AND
JELLICO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 3659 8401 3640 8390 3639 8392 3640 8395
3637 8395 3633 8398 3619 8447 3644 8460
3660 8432
TIME...MOT...LOC 1708Z 240DEG 52KT 3633 8442

$$


--

NWS Warnings Provided by AllisonHouse.com

Tornado Warning for Spring City, TN

855
WFUS54 KMRX 021657
TORMRX
TNC007-143-021730-
/O.NEW.KMRX.TO.W.0016.120302T1657Z-120302T1730Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1057 AM CST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
BLEDSOE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
RHEA COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 1130 AM CST/1230 PM EST/

* AT 1054 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR PIKEVILLE.
DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
SPRING CITY...MELVINE...EVENSVILLE AND GRANDVIEW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CST FRIDAY
AFTERNOON/400 PM EST FRIDAY AFTERNOON/ FOR CENTRAL TENNESSEE.

&&

LAT...LON 3578 8513 3578 8504 3576 8503 3577 8491
3583 8481 3582 8480 3575 8476 3558 8482
3551 8525 3566 8531
TIME...MOT...LOC 1658Z 245DEG 48KT 3564 8514

$$


--

NWS Warnings Provided by AllisonHouse.com

Notice

Due to today's expected severe weather outbreak and declared Critical Storm Action Day (CSAD), I will be posting live throughout the afternoon starting at 3:00 PM CST

Prognosis

With SPC issuing a HIGH RISK for central KY... have decided today to be a Critical Storm Action Day (CSAD).

**HIGH RISK FOR TORNADOES TODAY**


ANYONE IN THE HIGH RISK AREA NEEDS TO REVIEW PLANS NOW!

Significant Severe Weather Episode Today (6:45 AM CST Discussion)

EDIT: HIGH RISK NOW IN EFFECT



OLD DISCUSSION---
Overall Storm Prediction Risk

Hail Threat

Tornado Threat

Damaging Wind Threat
The Storm Prediction Center has maintained its moderate risk area. This was expected, as this will not be a world-ending situation. It will be pretty bad, but not extremely horrible.

A big thing we will be looking for is EHI in Kentucky and Tennessee. EHI is probably the best tornado predictor around, as it combines spinning and instability in the atmosphere, both crucial to make tornadoes. Values over 1 are considered 'high' EHI values.
In this image, we see the EHI above 3 in Kentucky and Tennessee, signaling that there will be ample tornado key ingredients to potentially make for some tornadoes. After this large EHI, however, it will begin to weaken with movement eastward.

We are also watching the jet stream, which will be screaming along at over 100 knots. Notice how the jet stream seems to have two horizontal leg-like features near the East Coast. That is called a split flow. Basically, it is when the jet stream is interrupted and splits into two because the rising of air is too powerful for the jet stream to go through. Split flows are sign soy an unstable atmosphere and are generally good things to look for when storm chasing.

CAPE values are referred to as instability in the meteorological world. When this CAPE is over 1000 j/kg, that typically signals the potential for thunderstorms. In values over 2000 j/kg, which is seen above, that means that the atmosphere is w supportive of severe thunderstorms. With a 2000 - 3000 j/kg CAPE and 3+ EHI values, this could very well be a very dangerously active environment for thunderstorms and tornadoes alike.

Storm chasers and meteorologists alike also look for something called deep layer shear. Basically, the more shearing there is, the better the environment for tornadoes. Looking at the image above, we see deep layer shear (DLS) values of over 100 knots present in Missouri. Luckily, that is not the area we are looking at. We are watching the Tennessee/Kentucky area, which has about 60-80 knots of DLS. That is still a pretty high number and supportive of some tornadoes.

My Thoughts

The SPC made the right move in not issuing a High Risk. Not enough of some key components will be in place/will be strong enough. However, I do think it is possible that a High Risk could be issued short term when the storms initially fire up, if they are stronger than expected. Also, 2000 - 3000 j/kg  with 3+ EHI is nothing to mess with.

Here is my tornado outlook for today.

-Andrew