Thursday, June 30, 2011

Animation of Heat Wave July 1-5

Animation from NWS WFO MKX

Safety Tips for Warm Weather

In the event of a hot weather event, it is advised you do the following:

1. Stay hydrated. Drink plenty of fluids. In hot climates, the body loses water at a much faster rate, which could put your health in jeopardy.

2. Take many breaks if outside working. The body needs more breaks to prevent a stress-related illness such as heat stroke.

3. Stay inside with air conditioning. If that doesn't work, stay under the shade.

4. Check on elderly neighbors and those with disabilities that may affect their health in warm temperatures. Those groups of people are especially suspect to potentially deadly heat-related illnesses.

July 2, 2011 Heat Wave Forecast Temps

Temperatures will continue to be extremely hot across the central US, but will begin to break down in Iowa and Wisconsin, where temperatures should ease back into the lower 90's/ upper 80's.
While cities like St. Louis (Upper 90's) and Wichita KS (100 degrees) will remain dangerously hot, cities like Chicago will go down into the 80's and lower 90's.
These are heat warnings/advisories that will be in effect at 5 pm Saturday. Dark Red indicates heat warnings, while orange indicates heat advisories.

Massive, Dangerous heat wave to impact Central US

A massive and very dangerous heat wave is already impacting the Central US and will continue to do so into tomorrow.
This is a map forecast for tomorrow's maximum temperatures. We see areas in Kansas surpassing 100 degrees, as well as in Wisconsin and maybe even Iowa.
Chicago and St. Louis could reach 97 tomorrow, while Wichita, KS will settle at 105 degrees tomorrow, and keeping around 100 and above for the next 3 or 4 days.


We will issue more advisories and information as soon as possible.

Notice 6/30 (9:30 pm)

We are cleaning up the mess we made from the day we left the office, and updating pages and posts. Check in tomorrow morning for severe and tropical discussions.

Notice 6/30

We are back at the office at this time, and happy to be.
However, we are just beginning to settle in, so removal of the tornado outbreak items will take some time, likely into 10pm tonight.

Wednesday, June 29, 2011

Notice on tropical storm arlene

I realize there is a tropicql system in the atlantic. However i have very limited posting abilities untilmfriday. We apologize for the inconvenience.

Sunday, June 26, 2011

June 26 Potential Tornado Outbreak Discussion

There is potential for a tornado outbreak today.
Please read the SPC's Public Severe Weather Outlook Discussion for details.


PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0658 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011
   
   ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MISSOURI
   VALLEY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS
   OF THE MIDDLE MISSOURI VALLEY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
   
   THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
   
          WESTERN IOWA
          NORTHWEST MISSOURI
          CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA
          SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
   
   ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS PARTS OF
   THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS SOUTHEASTWARD INTO PARTS OF THE
   LOWER OHIO AND TENNESSEEE VALLEYS
   
   THE AIR MASS ACROSS MUCH OF MIDDLE MISSOURI VALLEY IS LIKELY TO
   BECOME VERY UNSTABLE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  AT THE SAME TIME WIND
   FIELDS WILL STRENGTHEN AS A WEATHER SYSTEM PROGRESSES EAST OF THE
   ROCKIES...AND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME FAVORABLE FOR AN
   OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES ...A
   COUPLE OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG...IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL.  THE
   SEVERE THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS...WITH THE RISK
   FOR DAMAGING WINDS BECOME MORE PROMINENT SOUTHEASTWARD INTO PARTS OF
   THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
   
   STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING
   SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE
   WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA
   WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER
   TODAY.


Saturday, June 25, 2011

June 25: Civil Emergency Message (Dike has been breached, Evacuations via Ball Diamond Road)- Ward County, North Dakota


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
609 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2011

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF WARD COUNTY
LAW ENFORCEMENT.

A DIKE HAS BEEN BREACHED IN SAWYER. RESIDENTS OF SAWYER ARE
REQUESTED TO EVACUATE VIA THE BALL DIAMOND ROAD.

Friday, June 24, 2011

June 24: Amber Alert- Tennessee


...OFFICIAL AMBER ALERT...

THIS IS A CHILD ABDUCTION EMERGENCY RECEIVED BY THE
TENNESSEE BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION


A TENNESSEE STATEWIDE AMBER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
HARRISONBURG VIRGINIA POLICE DEPARTMENT FOR 11 MONTH OLD
CHARLES FORRESTT DILLON. CHARLES IS A WHITE MALE, SHORT
BLONDE HAIR AND BLUE EYES. HE IS 2`6" TALL, WEIGHS 25LBS AND WAS
LAST SEEN WEARING A BLUE AND BROWN SHIRT AND BROWN SHORTS. THE
CHILD WAS TAKEN BY HIS MOTHER, SARAH DILLON, AT 11:00 A.M.
EASTERN TIME FROM A SUPERVISED VISITATION. SARAH IS CAUCASIAN, 23
YEARS OLD, 5`3", 120 LBS WITH LONG REDDISH BLONDE HAIR AND BROWN
EYES. SHE WAS LAST SEEN DRIVING A 2001 GREEN DODGE RAM 1500 WITH
VIRGINIA LICENSE PLATE XXF-2172 AND MAY BE ENROUTE TO ARKANSAS.
THERE ARE WARRANTS ON FILE FOR SARAH DILLON. IF YOU HAVE SEEN THE
CHILD, SUSPECT OR VEHICLE, PLEASE CALL TBI AT 1-800-TBI- FIND, THE
VIRGINIA STATE POLICE AT 1-800-VA-CHILD OR THE HARRISONBURG
VIRGINIA POLICE DEPARTMENT AT 540-434-9992.

Overnight Tornado threat possible

The Significant Tornado Parameter, also known as STP, is in big numbers for this evening.

Before we go any further, this does NOT mean a tornado will occur, but only highlights that there MAY be potential for a tornado.

It does appear that this will be more of a low scale event should there be any tornadic activity.
If you are in the red zone, I do advise you keep up with latest details tonight should there be any tornado warnings or sightings.

June 24: Fire Warning (Immediate Evacuations, Out-of-control Wildfire)- Lincoln County, Oklahoma


THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS BEING TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF LINCOLN
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A WILDFIRE IS OUT OF CONTROL AND THREATENING HOMES IN SOUTHWESTERN
LINCOLN COUNTY TO THE WEST OF JACKTOWN. RESIDENTS OF SOUTHWESTERN
LINCOLN COUNTY ALONG AND NEAR 3330 ROAD BETWEEN 1020 ROAD AND 1030
ROAD SHOULD EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY. THIS INCLUDES RESIDENTS OF 1030
ROAD... 1028 ROAD... 3325 ROAD... EARLS WAY AND ROBIN LANE.

IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT RESIDENTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD EVACUATE NORTH
ON STATE HIGHWAY 102.

Introducing COATS

The Weather Centre is introducing COATS,
which stands for:
Chance
Of
A
Tornado
Scale

It will have its own designated page and will be updated daily.

June 24: Child Abduction Emergency (Grave/Immediate Danger)- West Texas


THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE TEXAS
DIVISION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

THE COOKE COUNTY SHERIFF`S OFFICE IS SEARCHING FOR JAMES ANTHONY
SANDERS...BLACK, MALE...12 YEARS OLD...5 FEET 2 INCHES TALL...105
POUNDS WITH BLACK HAIR...BROWN EYES AND WEARING BLACK BASEBALL
PANTS...RED T-SHIRT AND AN ORANGE AND WHITE CAP.

THE SHERIFF IS LOOKING FOR MICHAEL LOUIS SANDERS...BLACK MALE...41
YEARS OLD...225 LBS POUNDS...WITH BLACK HAIR AND BROWN EYES IN HIS
ABDUCTION.


THE SUSPECT IS DRIVING A SILVER, 2005, BUICK, RENDEZVOUS WITH A
TEXAS LICENSE PLATE NUMBER OF B...K...1...X...0...6...0. THE SUSPECT
WAS WAS LAST HEARD FROM IN LAKE KIOWA TEXAS.

LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS BELIEVE THIS CHILD TO BE IN GRAVE OR
IMMEDIATE DANGER.

IF YOU HAVE ANY INFORMATION REGARDING THIS ABDUCTION CALL THE COOKE
COUNTY SHERIFF`S OFFICE AT 9...4...0...6...6...5...3...4...7...1.

Thursday, June 23, 2011

Failure to sound sirens irritates Downers Grove, IL residents in June 21 storms

http://triblocal.com/downers-grove/2011/06/23/village-sirens-werent-activated-because-funnel-cloud-wasnt-spotted/

Residents in Downers Grove, Illinois are fuming because sirens weren't sounded during the violent June 21 storms that actually produced an EF-1 tornado with winds 90-100 mph.

The local officials said the sirens weren't sounded because a funnel cloud wasn't spotted at night.

I have to say that I am disappointed in how this situation turned out. Besides how hard it is to spot a funnel cloud/tornado at night, all local governments should hold the best interests in their citizens and sound sirens if there is the slightest indication of a tornado occurring.

I do not condemn any local governments, but if you are concerned of this happening to you and want to take action, I would suggest you could call your local government to hear their tornado siren plans and what the guidelines are for when to sound the sirens.

Strong Pacific Storm could eventually impact the United States

In the next day or two, a very strong system will emerge from the West Pacific with central pressure forecast below 980 millibars. This surface analysis above projects the low about 42 hours out from the time of posting. The reason why I made this post is because, should this system remain as strong as it is forecast to be and make landfall in the US, it could spell out catastrophe in the way of severe weather or flooding concerns.

This image is the forecast for 84 hours away. We see the strong low pressure up by Alaska moving East Northeast towards Alaska. There is also a weaker low moving southeast that may eventually make landfall on the US as well. Right off the bat, we can determine that these systems are being pulled along by the jet stream, which appears to be nose diving towards the West Coast of the US after brushing Alaska as seen in the above picture.
24 hours later, the low off the West Coast of the US has intensified within the jet stream. More importantly is the low moving closer to Alaska. It remains at a very strong strength.
This whole jet stream pattern will be supported by a strong ridge in the atmosphere, as defined by the negative region in blue below the strong low in red.
Another 24 hours later, this ridge begins to weaken and collapse the jet stream pattern. The strong low has weakened slightly and how begins to move southward as the ridge weakens towards the United States. As the ridge weakens, the low just off the coast of the US will weigh down on the jet stream and get pumped into Canada. At the same time, the second low in Alaska may also be propelled into Canada unless some pattern sets up north of Alaska that forces the low more southward than anticipated and into possibly the Central Plains.
One day later, the ridge has nearly totally weakened, and the jet stream is now trying to thrust northward. This creates a dilemma for the low in Alaska. With the second low now in California and no longer weighing down on the jet stream, that loss of pressure also encourages the jet stream to shoot into Canada instead of stay in the pattern that would direct the low in Alaska towards the West Coast. The low moving south from Alaska i also weakening.
Finally, yet another 24 hours later, the low seems to still have a good amount of strength to force the jet stream south once again, which could lead to the possibility of this low also moving down to the US.

We will be watching this system closely over the next several days.

June 23- Morning Tropical Cyclone Discussion- Atlantic Ocean

Good morning everyone, this is the Atlantic Ocean Tropical Cyclone Discussion.
There are no depressions, storms or hurricanes ongoing in the Atlantic, so we will zoom in on other features.

There is a tropical wave around the middle of the Atlantic ocean in between Africa and South America. This wave, should it move to the west northwest, could prove an ingredient to make a tropical cyclone piece.

This is a fairly new territory that The Weather Centre is exploring in the way of ingredients necessary for tropical development, so we will learn from our mistakes along the way.

850-300 mb plots of shear are up to 20 knots, which looks to be a fairly good amount. What we don't want is high shear, which would heavily limit potential for TC development. However, when compared to the direction that 850 mb winds are going, it does look like there is a change in wind direction, but it is to an extent that appears to be somewhat sufficient for development as of the current time.

Looking ahead several hours, it looks like 300 mb wind direction will become opposite of 850 mb winds, which could prove to be a problem. Shearing will also increase in the area, up to about 25 knots.

Around 1 am Saturday, the shearing will have decreased once again to up to 20 knots, and directions will have improved.

All in all, this tropical wave looks like there is potential. However, once again, keep in mind we are only beginning to check out tropical cyclone ingredients and will likely be wrong on some counts of parameters or guesses.

June 23- Churchill Downs, Louisville, Kentucky Tornado Report


Jefferson County Storm Survey Results

Tornado #1:
Preliminary evidence indicates an EF-2 tornado struck the Churchill Downs area.  This survey is still on-going.
Tornado #2:
DAMAGE TYPE: TORNADO
BEGIN TIME:  9:27 PM EDT
END TIME:    9:31 PM EDT
BEGIN POINT: 2.7 MILES WEST OF DOWNTOWN JEFFERSONTOWN AT THE
             INTERSECTION OF NACHAND LANE AND NACHAND SPRING LANE
END POINT:   0.9 MILES WEST OF DOWNTOWN JEFFERSONTOWN JUST EAST OF
             THE INTERSECTION OF LISA LANE AND CALAIS DRIVE
EF SCALE:    EF-1
WIND SPEED:  95-100 MPH
PATH LENGTH: 1.9 MILES
PATH WIDTH:  150 YARDS
INJURIES:    0
FATALITIES:  0

NARRATIVE: AT THE START OF THE PATH THE TORNADO WAS EF0 STRENGTH AS
IT DAMAGED SHINGLES AND SIDING AND SNAPPED MAPLE TREES. AT ORCHARD
LAKE BOULEVARD AND FALLEN APPLE LANE TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN AND LAID
OUT IN NORTH...NORTHEAST...AND SOUTH DIRECTIONS. THE TORNADO MOVED
INTO THE HURSTBOURNE WOODS SUBDIVISION AND RIPPED A LOCKED POOL GATE
FREE AND THREW IT OVER A BUILDING AND 35 YARDS DOWNWIND. THIS
LOCATION SUFFERED THE WORST DAMAGE WITH GUTTERS...SIDING...AND
SOFFITS RIPPED FROM BUILDINGS AND DEPOSITED 30 YARDS AWAY IN TREES.
NEXT A LARGE OAK TREE WAS UPROOTED AT 3705 MODESTO ROAD AND A
TRAMPOLINE WAS THROWN INTO A VOLKSWAGEN AND THEN OVER A HOUSE. AT
9407 WILLOW WOOD WAY THERE WAS ROOF DAMAGE AND MANY TREES...BOTH
HARDWOOD AND SOFTWOOD...WERE SNAPPED AND UPROOTED. THE TORNADO
BRIEFLY MADE ABOUT A 25 DEGREE TURN TO THE NORTHEAST JUST BEFORE
DISSIPATING AND CAUSING SOME ROOF AND TREE DAMAGE AT ITS END POINT.

June 23: Place to Be- Wall, SD

Today's Place to Be is Wall, South Dakota.

Wall
HIGH- 79
Weather- Mostly Sunny
Wind- SE 8-13 mph

Additional information- Slight chance of storms overnight.

Wednesday, June 22, 2011

June 22- Reports of tornado in Louisville, KY

There have been reports of a tornado in Louisville, Kentucky.

-Report of a rotating wall cloud
-Power lines down
-Funnel Cloud reported
-Many reports of wind damage.

June 22: Tornado Warning- Middletown, KY


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  SOUTHEASTERN OLDHAM COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  NORTHWESTERN SHELBY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 915 PM EDT...

* AT 839 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MIDDLETOWN...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  MIDDLETOWN...
  CONNER...
  TODDS POINT AND SIMPSONVILLE...
  MIDDLETOWN HEIGHTS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN LOUISVILLE.

June 22: Tornado Warning for Armada, MI TORTRACK


THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  COLUMBUS AROUND 450 PM EDT.
  EMMETT AROUND 455 PM EDT.
  GOODELLS AND SMITHS CREEK AROUND 500 PM EDT.
  RUBY AND WADHAMS AROUND 510 PM EDT.
  NORTH STREET AND BLAINE AROUND 515 PM EDT.

June 22: Tornado Warning- Armada, MI


...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN ST. CLAIR AND
NORTHEASTERN MACOMB COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

AT 424 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ARMADA...OR 6 MILES WEST OF RICHMOND...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RICHMOND AND BERVILLE AROUND 435 PM EDT.
  MEMPHIS AND RILEY CENTER AROUND 440 PM EDT.
  COLUMBUS AROUND 450 PM EDT.
  EMMETT AROUND 455 PM EDT.
  GOODELLS AND SMITHS CREEK AROUND 500 PM EDT.
  WADHAMS AND RUBY AROUND 510 PM EDT.

THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS...
  YALE...               RICHMOND...           MEMPHIS...
  LAKEPORT...           EMMETT...             CAPAC...
  ARMADA...

More damage near our headquarters

More damage





Damage near our headquarters







June 22: Flash Flood Warning (Mandatory Evacuations)- Minot, North Dakota


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR LEVEE OVER TOPPING IN...
  EAST CENTRAL WARD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT.

* AT 930 AM CDT...THE MINOT EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER HAS REPORTED
  LEVEES BEGINNING TO OVER TOP IN PARTS OF MINOT.

* MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED ALONG THE SOURIS RIVER
  THROUGH PARTS OF MINOT. THOSE IN THE MANDATORY EVACUATION ZONES
  SHOULD BE MOVING TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. REMAIN CALM...BUT MOVE
  QUICKLY...FOLLOWING THE DIRECTION OF LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT
  OFFICIALS. THE NATIONAL GUARD HAS IDENTIFIED SEVERAL AREAS OF
  CONCERN IN THE OAK DRIVE...ODDS TRAILER COURT AND TENTH STREET AND
  WEST CENTRAL AREAS. FLOODING OF OTHER PARTS OF MINOT IS EXPECTED
  AS RIVER LEVELS CONTINUE TO RISE.

* THIS FLASH FLOOD WARNING EXTENDS ALONG THE SOURIS RIVER FROM
  BURLINGTON...THROUGH MINOT....AND LOGAN TO SAWYER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS
IMMINENT. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

Introducing the new TorTrack System

The Weather Centre is introducing its new TorTrack system, capable of detecting where a tornadic storm will go, and what cities will be affected.
This system will be implemented today or tomorrow, and there will be a TorTrack image with every tornado warning, unless there is an outbreak occurring.

Tuesday, June 21, 2011

June 21: Tornado Warning (Brief Rain Wrapped Tornadoes)- Coming towards Downtown Chicago, IL



...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL COOK...
DUPAGE...EAST CENTRAL DE KALB...NORTHEASTERN GRUNDY...NORTHWESTERN
WILL...KENDALL AND KANE COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 824 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE SQUALL LINE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
AND BRIEF RAIN-WRAPPED TORNADOES.  THESE DANGEROUS STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GILBERTS TO
DUPAGE AIRPORT TO NAPERVILLE TO ROCKDALE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH.

THESE DANGEROUS STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WOODRIDGE...WHEATON...STREAMWOOD AND LEMONT AROUND 835 PM CDT.
  YORK CENTER...WESTMONT...ROSELLE AND MEDINAH AROUND 840 PM CDT.
  VILLA PARK AND OAK BROOK AROUND 845 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS LINE OF TORNADO PRODUCING STORMS
INCLUDE GLENDALE HEIGHTS...GLENBARD SOUTH...WILLOWBROOK...
BLOOMINGDALE AND OAKBROOK TERRACE.

Notice

The Weather Centre is under a tornado warning and will have to go offline around 8:45 pm.
Please stay careful.

June 21: Tornado Warning- Flanagan, IL


...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON
AND SOUTHEASTERN LA SALLE COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 734 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF FLANAGAN...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF STREATOR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  STREATOR...CORNELL...KANGLEY AND RANSOM.

June 21- Dangerous Storms (7:20 pm CDT)

Storms continue to move northward into North Illinois.

These storms are becoming dangerous.

-Peru, Illinois has reported wind gusts at 75 MPH.
-Naperville, Illinois: Trained Spotter reported a funnel cloud.
-Georgetown, Illinois reported damage with several trees blown down from strong winds.
-Latham, Illinois reports power out and power lines down.

People in  North Illinois should take cover now.

June 21: Tornado Warning (Tornado Reported by Law Enforcement)- Hopkins, MI


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  NORTH CENTRAL ALLEGAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...  
  
* UNTIL 700 PM EDT  
  
* AT 625 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR THE    
  HOPKINS AREA. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST  
  AT 30 MPH.  
  
THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS...  
  MOLINE...             BURNIPS...            HOPKINS...  
  DORR...               DIAMOND SPRINGS...    MONTEREY...  
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
  
TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN  
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID  
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE  
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING OBJECTS.

June 21- Evening Storm Update (5:28 pm CDT)

This is a storm update for the storms currently occurring in South Illinois.

Up in North Illinois, there is a very unstable atmosphere as the warm front has lifted to the north of the area. As a strong low pressure pushes eastward, storms moving north out ahead of the cold front may go linear into a squall line should the cold front push farther and quicker than the mesoscale convective system (MCS) currently in South Illinois.

These storms in Illinois aren't too strong in terms of large hail, but are likely putting down hail in a smaller size at this time. As the storms move northward and probably in a slightly eastward direction as well, the storms will strengthen in the warm and humid atmosphere sector created by the warm front pulled north.
There is potential for these storms to also go into Indiana, which seems to be the more likely solution. The low is actually progged to pull northeastward. As this motion happens, the cold front may retract in an upward fashion, bending towards North Illinois. Should this happen, the storms will be more inclined to push more easterly into Indiana, and I believe this is what solution I may go with as we move on into the night.

June 21: Tornado Warning (Brief Rain Wrapped Tornadoes)- St. James, IL


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
  NORTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 438 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE SQUALL LINE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF RAIN-WRAPPED
  TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO WIDESPREAD STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE. THIS
  DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR KINMUNDY...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST
  OF SALEM...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FARINA...BROWNSTOWN...ST. ELMO...WRIGHTS CORNER...ST. PETER...
  LOOGOOTEE...AVENA...ST. JAMES AND LA CLEDE.

June 21: Tornado Warning- Ripon, WI


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  WEST CENTRAL FOND DU LAC COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...  
  NORTHEASTERN GREEN LAKE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...  
  
* UNTIL 415 PM CDT  
  
* AT 341 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A  
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS  
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BRANDON...OR 6 MILES SOUTH OF RIPON...AND  
  MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.  
  
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
  RIPON AND WEST ROSENDALE.  

June 21: Tornado Warning- Spring Lake Park, MN


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL ANOKA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTHEASTERN HENNEPIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN RAMSEY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 345 PM CDT

* AT 312 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
  TORNADO. THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM WAS NEAR SPRING LAKE
  PARK...OR OVER SPRING LAKE PARK...AND MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  SPRING LAKE PARK...
  MOUNDS VIEW...
  BLAINE...
  OAK PARK...
  COON RAPIDS...
  ANDOVER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON RADAR...IT MEANS THAT
STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY ALREADY
BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY.

June 21: Tornado Warning- Modena, WI/MN border



...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN BUFFALO AND
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL WABASHA COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

AT 321 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO LOCATED NEAR TELL...OR 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF ALMA...MOVING
NORTH AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  MODENA AROUND 330 PM...
  URNE AROUND 335 PM...
  MISHA MOKWA AROUND 340 PM...
  MAXVILLE AROUND 345 PM...
  THE BIG SWAMP AREA AROUND 350 PM...

June 21: Tornado Warning- Berlin, WI


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN GREEN LAKE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
  NORTHEASTERN MARQUETTE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT

* AT 323 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PRINCETON...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  BERLIN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BERLIN.

June 21: Tornado Warning- Green Lake, WI


...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN GREEN LAKE...
WESTERN FOND DU LAC AND NORTH CENTRAL DODGE COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM
CDT...

AT 323 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BRANDON...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST
OF WAUPUN...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RIPON...BERLIN...BRANDON...GREEN LAKE...FAIRWATER AND WEST
  ROSENDALE.

June 21: Tornado Warning- St. Paul Park, MN


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTH CENTRAL DAKOTA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 245 PM CDT

* AT 216 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
  TORNADO. THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM WAS NEAR ROSEMOUNT...
  OR OVER ROSEMOUNT...AND MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  ROSEMOUNT...
  ST PAUL PARK...
  INVER GROVE HEIGHTS...
  EAGAN...
  NEWPORT...
  SUNFISH...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON RADAR...IT MEANS THAT
STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY ALREADY
BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY.

June 21: Mesoscale Discussion- South Half of WI, North Half of IL, East IA, Southeast MN

Begin SPC Discussion

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1337
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1145 AM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MN...ERN IA...MUCH OF SRN WI...CNTRL AND NRN
   IL
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 211645Z - 211915Z
   
   A GENERAL INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE IS EXPECTED THIS
   AFTERNOON...AND A WATCH MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED.
   
   SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A LOW OVER WRN IA...WITH A BROADLY CONFLUENT
   WARM SECTOR WITH THETA-E AXIS FROM SERN MN INTO NRN IL. MORNING
   SOUNDINGS SHOWED EFFECTS OF EARLY CONVECTION WITH SOMEWHAT DRY JUST
   ABOVE THE SURFACE TO ABOUT 850 MB.
   
   AREAS OF HEATING...ALONG WITH GENERALLY CONVERGENT LOW
   LEVELS...SHOULD RESULT IN AN ARC OF CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON.OTHER
   STORMS ARE LIKELY TO GENERATE/STRENGTHEN NEAR THE WARM FRONT. WIND
   PROFILES VEER WITH HEIGHT BUT ARE GENERALLY MARGINAL...YET
   SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS. MARGINAL HAIL WITH RELATIVELY WARM MID
   LEVELS...AND A FEW TORNADOES GIVEN SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR...WILL
   BE POSSIBLE. A FEW NWD MOVING BOWS MAY MATERIALIZE WITH TIME WITH
   DAMAGING WIND THREAT.
End SPC Discussion
Begin The Weather Centre Discussion

Strong low is moving into vicinity with warm front pulling into Wisconsin. Warm sector has pulled  up into the area below warm front.
Do expect scattered convection to become organized into bowing sectors and possibly clusters that may be supportive of supercell activity.

Monday, June 20, 2011

June 20: Tornado Warning- Creston, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  EASTERN MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA...  
  NORTH CENTRAL PLATTE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA...  
  
* UNTIL 800 PM CDT  
  
* AT 727 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A  
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS  
  STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF CRESTON...OR 20 MILES NORTHWEST  
  OF COLUMBUS...AND MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.  
  
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
  NORFOLK...MADISON AND BATTLE CREEK.  
  
THE WARNED AREA INCLUDES HIGHWAY 81 IN NEBRASKA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS  
133 AND 155.  

June 20: Tornado Warning- Leoville, KS


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  SOUTHEASTERN DECATUR COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...  
  NORTHEASTERN SHERIDAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...  
  
* UNTIL 830 PM CDT  
  
* AT 733 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A  
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS  
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR JENNINGS...AND WAS MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.  
  
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
  JENNINGS...DRESDEN AND LEOVILLE.  
  
THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 36 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 82 AND 98.  

June 20: Tornado Warning- Lebanon (KS/NE border)


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  NORTHEASTERN DECATUR COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...  
  RED WILLOW COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...  
  
* UNTIL 815 PM CDT  
  
* AT 707 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A  
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THESE  
  DANGEROUS STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HOLBROOK  
  TO KANONA...AND WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.  
  
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
  OBERLIN...LEBANON...DANBURY...TRAER...CEDAR BLUFFS...BARTLEY...  
  INDIANOLA AND MCCOOK.  
  
THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 34 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 86 AND 110.  
  
THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 36 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 78 AND 93.

June 20: Tornado Warning- Kanona, KS


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  SOUTHERN DECATUR COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...  
  NORTH CENTRAL SHERIDAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...  
  
* UNTIL 745 PM CDT  
  
* AT 643 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A  
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THESE  
  DANGEROUS STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM KANONA TO  
  7 MILES SOUTH OF SELDEN...AND WAS MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH.  
  
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
  LEOVILLE...KANONA...SELDEN AND OBERLIN.  
  
THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 36 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 79 AND 98.  

June 20: Tornado Warning- Woodson, TX


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  SOUTHEASTERN THROCKMORTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...  
  
* UNTIL 645 PM CDT  
  
* AT 604 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A  
  TORNADO WAS 5 MILES WEST OF WOODSON...OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF  
  THROCKMORTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.  
  
  IN ADDITION TO DANGEROUS TORNADIC WINDS...OTHER HAZARDS INCLUDE...  
  LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.  
  DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  
  POTENTIALLY DEADLY LIGHTNING.  
  
* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...  
  US-183 NEAR THE THROCKMORTON-STEPHENS COUNTY LINE BY 615 PM CDT...  
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
  
TAKE COVER FROM THIS STORM NOW! A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS   
IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.  

June 20: Tornado Warning (Law Enforcement Confirmed Tornado)- Norcatur, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  NORTHEASTERN DECATUR COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...  
  NORTHWESTERN NORTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...  
  SOUTHEASTERN RED WILLOW COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...  
  
* UNTIL 730 PM CDT  
  
* AT 620 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO 5 MILES  
  NORTHEAST OF NORCATUR. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING  
  NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH.  
  
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
  LEBANON.  
  
THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 36 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 82 AND 103.  
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
  
TO REPEAT...A TORNADO HAS BEEN CONFIRMED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. TAKE  
COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY  
BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR  
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  

June 20: Tornado Warning- Jennings, KS


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN DECATUR COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 557 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THESE
  DANGEROUS STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM OBERLIN
  TO JENNINGS...AND WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  JENNINGS...NORCATUR...OBERLIN AND KANONA.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 36 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 78 AND 98.

June 20: Tornado Warning- Ord, NE


...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN VALLEY...
NORTHEASTERN SHERMAN...NORTHWESTERN HOWARD AND SOUTHERN GREELEY
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

AT 558 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THESE
DANGEROUS STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF NORTH LOUP TO 5 MILES EAST OF SCOTIA TO ELBA...MOVING
NORTH AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ORD...NORTH LOUP AND GREELEY.

June 20: Tornado Warning (Confirmed Tornado)- Hampton, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
  CENTRAL MERRICK COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
  SOUTHWESTERN POLK COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
  NORTHWESTERN YORK COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 535 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A CONFIRMED TORNADO NEAR HAMPTON...OR 16 MILES WEST OF YORK.
  DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HORDVILLE AND POLK.

June 20: Tornado Warning (Confirmed Tornado)- Henderson, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL POLK COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
  WESTERN YORK COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 540 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A CONFIRMED TORNADO NEAR HENDERSON...OR 10 MILES WEST OF YORK.
  DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BRADSHAW AND BENEDICT.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 342 AND 350.

June 20: Tornado Warning- Ashton, NE


...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SHERMAN COUNTY UNTIL 530
PM CDT...

AT 512 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THESE
DANGEROUS STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROCKVILLE
TO ASHTON...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ASHTON...LITCHFIELD AND LOUP CITY.

June 20: Tornado Warning (Funnel Cloud)- Stockham, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
  NORTHWESTERN YORK COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT

* AT 517 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR STOCKHAM...OR 18 MILES SOUTHWEST OF YORK...
  AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

  AT 513 PM CDT...A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS REPORTED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  HENDERSON BY SEVERAL SOURCES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  YORK...LUSHTON...HENDERSON...HAMPTON...BRADSHAW AND THAYER.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 333 AND 352.

June 20: Tornado Emergency (Multiple Tornadoes Possible, One Confirmed)- Hazard, NE


...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SHERMAN AND NORTHWESTERN
BUFFALO COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 458 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
CONFIRMED TORNADO.  THE CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS NORTH OF RAVENNA IN
SHERMAN COUNTY AND MOVING NORTH.  ADDITIONAL POSSIBLE TORNADOES WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES WEST OF PLEASANTON TO
HAZARD TO RAVENNA TO ROCKVILLE...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HAZARD...ASHTON...LITCHFIELD AND LOUP CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

June 20: Tornado Warning- Hoxie, KS


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN SHERIDAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 458 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HOXIE...AND WAS MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  TASCO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

June 20: Tornado Warning- Pleasanton, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL BUFFALO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
  SOUTHWESTERN SHERMAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 430 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PLEASANTON...OR 15 MILES NORTH OF KEARNEY...
  AND MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  POOLE...PLEASANTON...HAZARD AND LITCHFIELD.

June 20: Severe Thunderstorm Watch (Particularly Dangerous Situation)- Central OK, Northwest TX


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 525
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   345 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          MUCH OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
          MUCH OF NORTHWEST TEXAS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL
   1100 PM CDT.
   
   ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
   
   EXTREMELY DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...LARGE HAIL
   TO 3.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE
   IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF
   PONCA CITY OKLAHOMA TO 45 MILES WEST OF STEPHENVILLE TEXAS.  FOR
   A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 523...WW 524...
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THE DRY LINE ON WRN
   EDGE OF WATCH BY 22Z. STORMS WILL RAPIDLY BECOME SEVERE GIVEN THE
   AVAILABLE VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN ADVANCE OF THE UNSEASONABLY
   STRONG UPPER TROUGH . SUPERCELLS WILL BE INITIAL MODE BUT QUICKLY
   EVOLVE INTO LINE SEGMENTS AND BOWS.  VERY LARGE HAIL ALONG WITH A
   POTENTIAL OF SIGNIFICANT DAMAGING WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY BOTH THE
   SUPERCELLS AND THE MORE LINEAR MODE THAT EVOLVES BY THIS EVENING. IN
   ADDITION BRIEF TORNADOS ARE POSSIBLE WITH BOTH MODES
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 3.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 24030.

June 20: Tornado Warning (Confirmed Tornado)- Amherst, NE


...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN DAWSON AND
NORTHWESTERN BUFFALO COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

AT 416 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
CONFIRMED TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR AMHERST...OR 15
MILES NORTHWEST OF KEARNEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RIVERDALE...SUMNER...AMHERST...MILLER AND PLEASANTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT TAKE SHELTER UNDER HIGHWAY OVERPASSES. AS A LAST
RESORT... EITHER PARK YOUR VEHICLE AND STAY PUT...OR ABANDON YOUR
VEHICLE AND LIE DOWN IN A LOW LYING AREA.

June 20- Tornado Warning (Previously Confirmed Tornado)- Near Kearney, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN BUFFALO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
  EASTERN DAWSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
  NORTHEASTERN GOSPER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
  NORTHERN PHELPS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT

* AT 353 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ELM CREEK...OR 17 MILES WEST OF KEARNEY...
  AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.  THIS STORM HAS ALREADY PRODUCED A
  TORNADO.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SUMNER...ODESSA...MILLER...AMHERST...RIVERDALE AND PLEASANTON.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 240 AND 268.

June 20- Severe Weather Update (3:54 pm CDT)

Spotty tornadic storms are developing in the areas we are closely watching like Kansas and Nebraska.
This activity will only get worse, unfortunately.
Stay with us at The Weather Centre as we get you through the storms.

June 20: Tornado Warning (Confirmed Tornado)- Stamford, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN FURNAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
  NORTHWESTERN HARLAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
  SOUTHWESTERN PHELPS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT

* AT 326 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A CONFIRMED TORNADO NEAR STAMFORD...OR 22 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  HOLDREGE. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  OXFORD AND ATLANTA.

June 20- Tornado Warning (Funnel Cloud)- Golden Valley, ND


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN MERCER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 345 PM CDT

* AT 309 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR GOLDEN
VALLEY IN MERCER COUNTY...OR 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF DICKINSON. A
TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS DANGEROUS
STORM MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE AROUND AND SOUTH OF GOLDEN
VALLEY...IN MERCER COUNTY.

June 20: Tornado Warning (Funnel Cloud)- Near Bismarck, ND


...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL MORTON COUNTY
UNTIL 315 PM CDT...

AT 300 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD.  THIS FUNNEL
CLOUD WAS LOCATED 2 MILES NORTHEAST OF ALMONT...OR 33 MILES WEST
OF BISMARCK...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

June 20; Tornado Warning (Confirmed Tornado)- Almena, NE into KS


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN PHILLIPS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  EASTERN FURNAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
  WESTERN HARLAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT

* AT 253 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A CONFIRMED TORNADO 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF ALMENA...OR 15 MILES
  NORTHEAST OF NORTON. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTH
  AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BEAVER CITY...HOLLINGER...STAMFORD...ORLEANS...ARAPAHOE...EDISON...
  OXFORD AND RAGAN.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL TO TENNIS BALL SIZE.

June 20: Tornado Watch (Particularly Dangerous Situation)- East NE, North Central KS


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 523
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   100 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
          LARGE PART OF EASTERN NEBRASKA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 100 PM UNTIL 800
   PM CDT.
   
   ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
   
   DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
   THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
   POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
   ONEILL NEBRASKA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILL CITY KANSAS. 
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 522...
   
   DISCUSSION...INTENSE SURFACE LOW OVER NCENTRAL KS WITH RAPID
   DESTABILIZATION OCCURRING  INTO NEB WHERE SHEAR IS VERY FAVORABLE
   FOR SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT.  SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WELL DEVELOP
   AHEAD OF THE TRACK OF THE LOW WITH POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES
   INCREASING THRU THE AFTERNOON AS SYSTEM MOVES NNE.  VERY LARGE HAIL
   ALSO LIKELY GIVEN MLCAPES AOA 2500 J/KG AND LARGE HODOGRAPHS.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.

June 20: Tornado Warning (Tornado Reported)- Saint Peter, KS



THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN GOVE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHWESTERN GRAHAM COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN SHERIDAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...

* UNTIL 200 PM CDT

* AT 1254 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR QUINTER.
  DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SAINT PETER AND STUDLEY.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 100 AND 110.

June 20- Moderate Risk Upgrade


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1316
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1042 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN KS AND CENTRAL/EASTERN OK
   
   CONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE 
   
   VALID 201542Z - 201645Z
   
   CATEGORICAL MODERATE RISK...DRIVEN BY POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT
   HAIL/WIND AND PERHAPS TORNADOES...WILL BE EXPANDED TO INCORPORATE
   MUCH OF EASTERN KS AND CENTRAL/EASTERN PORTIONS OF OK /ROUGHLY OKC
   METRO AND I-40 NORTH/. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...SEE THE FORTHCOMING
   DAY 1 OUTLOOK UPDATE WHICH WILL BE ISSUED BY 1630Z.

June 20- Place to Be

Today's Place to Be is Syracuse, New York.

Syracuse
HIGH- 79
Weather- Mostly Sunny
Wind: NE 'light'

Additional Information: A good day to go to the beach.

June 20- Moderate Risk Severe Weather Discussion

There is a moderate risk of severe weather in:
-West Iowa
-Northeast Kansas
-East Nebraska
-Extreme Northwest Missouri

Today's discussion will be the Storm Prediction Center's Public Severe Weather Outlook.

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0505 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2011
   
   ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS
   THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS
   OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
   
   THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
   
          WESTERN IOWA
          NORTHEAST KANSAS
          NORTHWEST MISSOURI
          EASTERN NEBRASKA
          SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
   
   ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
   SOUTHERN PLAINS...UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...OHIO VALLEY...AND
   CENTRAL APPALACHIANS STATES.
   
   A LARGE AND STRONG STORM SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
   ROCKIES WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND AFFECT THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES
   LATER TODAY.  HOT...HUMID...AND WINDY CONDITIONS AT THE SURFACE WILL
   LEAD TO A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS THIS AFTERNOON.  SCATTERED SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO FORM OVER EASTERN NEBRASKA AND SPREAD
   EASTWARD INTO SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND WESTERN IOWA THROUGH THE
   EVENING.  OTHER INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON
   ALONG A LINE FROM SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA INTO EASTERN KANSAS...MOVING
   INTO WESTERN MISSOURI DURING THE EVENING.  ALL OF THESE STORMS WILL
   BE CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE AND DAMAGING HAIL...AS WELL AS A FEW
   TORNADOES.
   
   STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING
   SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE
   WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA
   WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER
   TODAY.
Today's Hail outlook

Today's Tornado Outlook

Today's Damaging Wind Outlook

June 20- Storm Action Day Declared

For the second day in a row, a Storm Action Day has been declared.
Be sure to keep up to date on our bulletins and tornado warnings in the event that you may be in a hazardous environment.

Sunday, June 19, 2011

June 19: Tornado Warning- Alvin, CO



THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN YUMA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO...

* UNTIL 915 PM MDT

* AT 836 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTH OF WAUNETA...AND WAS MOVING EAST AT
  35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ALVIN.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 385 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 258 AND 269.

June 19: Tornado Warning- Cambridge, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN FURNAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

* AT 920 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CAMBRIDGE...OR 33 MILES NORTHWEST OF
  NORTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HOLBROOK...HENDLEY AND ARAPAHOE.

June 19: Tornado Warning- South of North Platte, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

* AT 928 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAKE MALONEY STATE
  RECREATION AREA...OR 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NORTH PLATTE...AND
  MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LAKE MALONEY STATE RECREATION AREA AROUND 940 PM CDT.
  COTTONWOOD CANYON STATE WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA AROUND 955 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE HIGHWAY 83
MILE MARKER 70.

June 19: Tornado Warning- Spencer, TN


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  BLEDSOE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
  RHEA COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT/1100 PM EDT/

* AT 910 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES
  SOUTHEAST OF SPENCER. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING EAST
  AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  PIKEVILLE...OLD CUMBERLAND...MOUNT CREST...PALIO AND BRAYTON.

June 19: Tornado Warning- Imperial, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL CHASE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 900 PM MDT

* AT 806 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR IMPERIAL...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL
  CHASE COUNTY.

June 19: Tornado Warning (Multiple Tornadoes Reported)- Indianola, NE



...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN RED WILLOW
COUNTY UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

AT 855 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
CONFIRMED TORNADO.  THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
INDIANOLA...AND WAS MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

MULTIPLE TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN THE VICINITY OF INDIANOLA.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN RED WILLOW COUNTY.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 34 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 93 AND 101.

June 19: Tornado Warning- Lamar, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN CHASE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 815 PM MDT

* AT 733 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PLEASANT VALLEY...OR 13 MILES EAST OF
  HOLYOKE...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LAMAR AROUND 740 PM MDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE HIGHWAY 6
MILE MARKER 10 AND HIGHWAY 61 MILE MARKER 50.

June 19: Tornado Warning (Funnel Cloud Reported)- McCook, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL RED WILLOW COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT

* AT 833 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
  NEAR MCCOOK. A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME. DOPPLER RADAR
  SHOWED THIS TORNADIC STORM MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  INDIANOLA.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 34 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 84 AND 101.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 83 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 10 AND 19.

June 19: Tornado Warning- Curtis, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL FRONTIER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT

* AT 824 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
  STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF STOCKVILLE...OR 15 MILES
  SOUTHEAST OF CURTIS...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MEDICINE CREEK RESERVOIR STATE RECREATION AREA AND HIGHWAY 18 MILE
  MARKER 20.

June 19- Tornado Warning (Tornado on Ground): Dwight, KS


...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN GEARY AND NORTHWESTERN MORRIS COUNTIES...

AT 815 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO.  THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF LATIMER...OR 11 MILES
NORTHEAST OF HERINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WHITE CITY...PARKERVILLE AND DWIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR SAFETY...GO TO A STORM SHELTER OR BASEMENT NOW!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

June 19: Tornado Warning- Brule, NE


...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN PERKINS...
SOUTHWESTERN KEITH AND SOUTHEASTERN DEUEL COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM
MDT...

AT 633 PM MDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A WALL CLOUD WITH
STRONG ROTATION.  A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GOLDENEYE STATE WILDLIFE
MANAGEMENT AREA...OR 9 MILES SOUTH OF BIG SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT
20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BRULE...INTERSTATE 80 MILE MARKER 110...INTERSTATE 80 MILE MARKER
  120 AND HIGHWAY 61 MILE MARKER 80.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT TAKE SHELTER UNDER HIGHWAY OVERPASSES. AS A LAST
RESORT... EITHER PARK YOUR VEHICLE AND STAY PUT...OR ABANDON YOUR
VEHICLE AND LIE DOWN IN A LOW LYING AREA.

June 19: Tornado Warning- Sterling, CO


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN PHILLIPS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO
  EAST CENTRAL LOGAN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO

* UNTIL 715 PM MDT

* AT 628 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 3 MILES
  SOUTHEAST OF FLEMING...OR 20 MILES EAST OF STERLING. THIS STORM WAS
  MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WAGES...ST
  PETERSBURG...PAOLI...HAXTUN...FLEMING AND FAIRFIELD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

June 19- Tornado Warning (Tornado On the Ground)- Max, NE



...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN HITCHCOCK AND
NORTHEASTERN DUNDY COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM MDT/745 PM CDT/...

AT 605 PM MDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO.  THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTH OF MAX...AND WAS MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING
PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EXTREME NORTHEASTERN DUNDY AND NORTHWESTERN
  HITCHCOCK COUNTIES.

June 19: Tornado Warning (Funnel Cloud Spotted)- Red Willow Reservoir State Recreation Area, NE


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN FRONTIER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...
  SOUTHEASTERN HAYES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 800 PM CDT

* AT 714 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD 9
  MILES SOUTHEAST OF HAYES CENTER. A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME.
  DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS DANGEROUS STORM MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RED WILLOW RESERVOIR STATE RECREATION AREA AND HIGHWAY 83 MILE
  MARKER 30.

June 19: Tornado Warning- Sixteen-Mile Corner, CO


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN SEDGWICK COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO

* UNTIL 645 PM MDT

* AT 613 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES NORTH OF
  SIXTEEN-MILE CORNER...OR 8 MILES SOUTH OF JULESBURG. THIS STORM WAS
  MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
  SIXTEEN-MILE CORNER...OVID AND JULESBURG.

June 19- Fire Warning (Evacuations Reccomended): Kendall County, TX

TXC259-200030-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FIRE WARNING
TEXAS EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TEXAS
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
420 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2011

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE
KENDALL COUNTY SHERIFFS DEPARTMENT.

A FIRE HAS STARTED IN KENDALL COUNTY AT MILE MARKER 533 TO
MILE MARKER 530 ON INTERSTATE 10 IN KENDALL COUNTY...WEST
OF INTERSTATE 10.

IF YOU ARE WITHIN 1 TO 3 MILES OF THIS LOCATION WEST OF
INTERSTATE 10...FROM MILE MARKER 533 TO MILE MARKER 530...
YOU NEED TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY.

IF YOU ARE IN DANGER AND CANNOT EVACUATE FROM THIS AREA...
PLEASE CALL 911.

$$

June 19- Tornado Warning: Sidney, NE

Dangerous storm will affect mainly rural areas of cheyenne county. Until 445 pm cdt

June 19- Day 2 Update (12:57 pm CDT)


...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER ERN NEB...SERN SD...SRN
   MN...AND MUCH OF IA...
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE CENTRAL AND SRN PLAINS
   ACROSS THE MIDDLE MS AND OH VALLEYS INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS AND
   CAROLINAS...
   
   ...ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER DAY EXPECTED MONDAY ESPECIALLY OVER THE MID
   MO RIVER VALLEY...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG DEVELOPING LOW/UPPER VORTICITY MAX
   DIGGING SEWD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN.  THIS IS AMPLIFYING THE WRN US
   LONG WAVE TROUGH AS AN UPPER LOW SLOWLY RETROGRADES FROM SASK INTO
   ERN ALTA.  MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT INDICATING THE GREAT
   BASIN LOW WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SRN ROCKIES TONIGHT
   BEFORE LIFTING NEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON MONDAY.  AT THE
   SURFACE...A LOW INITIALLY OVER WRN KS AT 20/12Z IS FORECAST TO MOVE
   NEWD ACROSS ERN NEB...WHILE A COLD FRONT TRAILING SWWD FROM THE LOW
   SURGES EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND OVERTAKES A LEADING DRY
   LINE OVER PARTS OF KS AND OK.  STEEP LAPSE RATES ABOVE A CAPPING
   INVERSION ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG EML IS EXPECTED TO INHIBIT
   CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE PLAINS WARM
   SECTOR UNTIL LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHILE ELEVATED
   STORMS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR TO THE NORTH OF THE SURFACE LOW AND WARM
   FRONT MOVING NWD OVER THE LOWER MO VALLEY.
   
   ...ERN NEB...SERN SD...SRN MN...AND MUCH OF IA...
   STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING FOR LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL OVERSPREAD THIS
   REGION DURING THE DAY WITHIN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE MID/UPPER
   LEVEL JET STREAK TRANSLATING THROUGH THE SRN/ERN QUADS OF THE PLAINS
   UPPER LOW.  ELEVATED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING NORTH OF THE
   LOW AND WARM FRONT DURING THE MORNING WITH POTENTIAL FOR HAIL WITH
   STRONGER CELLS.  CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY BY MID
   AFTERNOON FROM PARTS OF CENTRAL/NERN NEB INTO SERN SD...SRN MN AND
   NRN IA WHERE BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS ENHANCE VERTICAL SHEAR AS THE
   UPPER JET STREAK APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. BY LATE
   AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...CONTINUED DIABATIC HEATING COUPLED WITH
   LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR THE LOW AND COLD FRONT SHOULD WEAKEN THE
   CAP SUFFICIENTLY FOR ADDITIONAL STORMS TO FORM ALONG/AHEAD OF THE
   COLD FRONT OVER ERN NEB.  THESE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO PARTS OF IA
   DURING THE EVENING. THE FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES WILL SUPPORT
   SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE WARM FRONT AND WITH
   INITIAL STORMS NEAR THE COLD FRONT...WITH A THREAT FOR SEVERAL
   STRONG TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. 
   ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE LOW
   LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS AFTER DARK WITH CONTINUING THREAT OF SEVERE
   STORMS CAPABLE OF MAINLY DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
   
   ...CENTRAL/ERN KS SWD INTO OK AND NRN TX...
   STORM ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SWD ALONG THE COLD FRONT OVER ERN KS
   BY LATE AFTERNOON AS DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT COUPLED WITH FRONTAL
   CONVERGENCE WEAKENS THE CAP.  MODELS SUGGEST A RELATIVELY NARROW
   AXIS OF STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT AS IT
   MOVES INTO THE VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS.  SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO
   OCCUR WITH POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND
   A FEW TORNADOES.  THE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A LINE
   WITHIN THE FIRST FEW HOURS AFTER CONVECTIVE INITIATION GIVEN THE
   PARALLEL ORIENTATION OF THE LOW-MID LEVEL SHEAR VECTORS AND THE COLD
   FRONT...WITH THE SEVERE THREAT TRANSITIONING TO PRIMARILY DAMAGING
   WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL AFTER SUNSET.
   
   FARTHER SOUTH...SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL WILL BECOME GRADUALLY MORE
   CONDITIONAL WITH SWD EXTENT ACROSS OK INTO NRN TX AS DYNAMIC FORCING
   ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW LIFTS NEWD AWAY FROM THE AREA. 
   HOWEVER...THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING INITIAL DISCRETE
   SUPERCELLS WILL EXIST FROM THE LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING
   HOURS.  VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE MOST LIKELY WITH SUPERCELLS IN
   OK...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONG STORMS
   THAT DO DEVELOP GIVEN THE STEEP LAPSE RATES.
   
   ...MID MS VALLEY INTO UPPER OH VALLEY AND THE SRN APPALACHIANS AND
   CAROLINAS...
   ONE OR TWO FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS/S ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EWD/ESEWD
   THROUGH THE OH VALLEY REGION IN ASSOCIATION WITH MODERATELY STRONG
   UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW ACROSS THE AREA.  THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
   MOVE SEWD WITH TIME AND REACH THE APPALACHIANS DURING THE MORE
   FAVORABLE DIURNAL PERIOD FOR SEVERE SYSTEMS TO CROSS THE MOUNTAINS. 
   THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE HIGH RES WINDOW WRF MODEL RUNS SHOWING
   BOWING CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS MOVING INTO THE CAROLINAS AROUND 21/00Z. 
   DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND OCCASIONAL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
   THESE REGIONS.

June 19- SPC Multimedia Briefing Screenshot & Link

This is a screenshot from the Storm Prediction Center's Multimedia Briefing, displaying the various severe weather probabilities as well as the caption in the blue box.
For the entire video, click below. The briefing is experimental and will not be updated today.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/pwo.mp4

June 19- Tropical Depression TWO-E Morning Discussion

Tropical Depression TWO-E has formed. It is currently offshore of Mexico and will move NNW, potentially making landfall in Mexico. After that, it will move west and dissipate into the Friday time period.
I'm sorry for the very very short update, but there's no material I feel should be posted after this map above was issued.
I will issue a more in-depth discussion tonight.

June 19, 2011: Storm Action Day declared

Today, June 19 has been declared a Storm Action Day for the moderate risk of severe weather in the Central Plains.
Click the link under the TorWarn system where it says there is a moderate risk for severe storms today for today's severe weather discussion.

June 19- Moderate Risk Severe Weather Discussion

This is a MODERATE RISK Severe Weather Discussion. 
There is a moderate risk in effect for:
-Northwest Kansas
-Extreme SW Iowa
-Extreme NW Missouri
-Much of south Nebraska


Today's severe weather discussion will be the Storm Prediction Center's Public Severe Weather Outlook and then my own take on this situation below the outlook.


PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0506 AM CDT SUN JUN 19 2011
   
   ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS
   THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS
   OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
   
   THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
   
          EXTREME NORTHEAST COLORADO
          SOUTHWEST IOWA
          NORTHERN KANSAS
          NORTHWEST MISSOURI
          SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA
   
   ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM...THE CENTRAL HIGH
   PLAINS ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS...INTO THE
   CAROLINAS.
   
   A LARGE UPPER DISTURBANCE OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL MOVE
   INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS LATER TODAY.  MEANWHILE...A SURFACE LOW WILL
   DEEPEN OVER WESTERN KANSAS WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS
   NORTHERN KANSAS INTO MISSOURI.  CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT
   SCATTERED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM ALONG AND TO THE NORTH
   OF THE WARM FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN KANSAS AND SOUTHERN NEBRASKA
   DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THESE STORMS WILL POSE A
   RISK OF VERY LARGE AND DAMAGING HAIL...ALONG WITH A FEW TORNADOES. 
   THESE STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO A FAST-MOVING CLUSTER DURING THE
   EVENING WITH A RISK OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS OF
   EASTERN NEBRASKA...SOUTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI AFTER
   DARK.
   
   STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING
   SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE
   WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA
   WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER
   TODAY.
My take on this severe weather is that today's storms will probably contain at least one 
tornado. That's just the plain fact of it.
These storms are setting up to go supercellular, and once that happens, rotation will only need to take place and up goes a tornado warning.
However, this isn't doomsday, either. This is still just a moderate risk of storms. While it is something to keep a close eye on, this event likely won't be a horrendous outbreak like 
back in April 25-27.
I will issue updates to keep everyone up to the minute of developments.
Current Hail outlook (Likely triggered moderate risk area)

Current Tornado Threat

Current High Wind threat