Warning: These forecasts are associated with very long range timeframes. This has a chance of not verifying at all, so use EXTREME CAUTION with this forecast.
The 12z FIM, which has been showing a tropical system developing in the Caribbean for the last 3+ days, is now showing the same system hitting Florida, and again in South Carolina in late May. Let's take a look.
|Figure 1: MSLP from the 12z FIM on May 25th.|
|Figure 2: 10m winds (knots) from the 12z FIM, valid on May 25th.|
|Figure 3: MSLP off the 12z FIM valid May 26.|
|Figure 4: 10m winds (knots) off the 12z FIM valid May 26.|
Considering that the Atlantic is prepping for this hurricane season, this is not entirely out of the question, especially since this scenario has been trending on this model for at least 3 days.