Sunday, October 30, 2011

NEW NAM shows First Snow for Midwest!

The newly-printed 0z NAM is producing a possible snowstorm for the Illinois/Missouri/Wisconsin region. The old 18z GFS was NOT producing this solution, so we will have to wait until tomorrow to see if the NAM can sway the GFS, or vice versa. Either way, it is another of two systems that may bring a very early winter to the US like the coastal storm already has for the Northeast.

Your Halloween Forecast

Your Halloween forecast involves a milder temperature spell for the South US into the Plains. Some wetter weather could make the trick or treating damp through the Ohio Valley and possibly into the Northeast. The same goes for portions of the Southeast, especially across the coastal regions. It will be sunny elsewhere, with temperatures in the 50s-lower 60s in the Midwest, into the 40s-50s in the Northeast.

Happy Halloween, stay safe and have fun!

Winter Starts Early as ECMWF Throws Strong System into Denver, Minneapolis

The 0z ECMWF Model has produced a snowstorm for the Denver region to Minneapolis, something else the GFS has been hinting at for the last couple days. It is another slap in the face for weather forecasters as winter gets an early start. Just as the northeast storm moves out, we turn our heads to the North Plains.
Above, in the ECMWF images, we see the strong low pressure system making its way northeast from Denver to Minneapolis.

Final 2011-2012 Winter Forecast Release Reminder

The FINAL 2011-2012 Winter Forecast will be Released November 5th at 12:00 PM CDT for the national forecast.

Regional times are as follows:

Nationwide Winter Forecast Release: 12:00 PM CDT
Southwest Winter Forecast Release: 12:10 PM CDT
Southeast Winter Forecast Release: 12:20 PM CDT
Northeast Winter Forecast Release: 12:30 PM CDT
Midwest Winter Forecast Release: 12:40 PM CDT
Northwest Winter Forecast Release: 12:50 PM CDT
South Central Plains Winter Forecast Release: 1:00 PM CDT