Current Infrared imagery indicates the depression is becoming well organized, with intense thunderstorms occurring on the western edge of the center of circulation and the previously exposed east flank of this depression recovering.
Now is the crucial time for tracks and intensity forecasts to be monitored. We are already on the job.
The NHC's strength forecast looks to strengthen this storm into a tropical storm this morning at 2 am EDT, with this storm reaching hurricane status potentially by 11 am EDT Thursday. The storm will remain somewhat stationary until the 11 am Wednesday time frame, when the system begins to pick up steam.
Notice the sudden drop in strength around hour 132 by the 2 turquoise models and one orange model. That is a signature sign of potential landfall by this storm. This could be devastating, as it would already be in Category 1 to potentially Category 2 hurricane strength.
This is the first of many discussions and updates to be issued concerning this tropical system. Remember to check back continuously for more updates and posts. Stay safe.