August 12: Tornado Warning (Tornado Confirmed)- Near Rockford, IL

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL

539 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

  SOUTHEASTERN STEPHENSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT.

* AT 538 PM CDT...TRAINED SPOTTERS AND DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

  TORNADO NEAR GERMAN VALLEY...OR 11 MILES EAST OF FREEPORT...MOVING

  EAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE

  INDICATED COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE IN A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT OR INTERIOR ROOM

OR HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING.

&&

August 12: Tropical Depression SIX- Atlantic Ocean

Tropical Depression SIX has formed in the Atlantic Ocean.
TD SIX will eventually become a tropical storm in the next 12-24 hours. After that, the storm will drift northeast and dissipate.
Not too exciting.

August 12: Tornado Warning (Tornado On Ground)- Courtenay, ND

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN STUTSMAN

COUNTY UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 332 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS DANGEROUS

STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR COURTENAY...OR 19 MILES NORTH OF JAMESTOWN...

MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

AT 323 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND 

APPROXIMATELY 10 MILES SOUTH OF COURTENAY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

  COURTENAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR

THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

Weather Models Update (August 12)

We have deleted the new models page and will now instead be working to overhaul the current page with new links.

August 12 Severe Weather Map

The Weather Centre has identified an area of high hail risk, another area of lesser hail risk, and a third area of general severe weather. Missouri and Kansas will have a high risk of damaging hail, some of it could become lift threatening. South Dakota, South Minnesota, and West Wisconsin will be in a heightened severe weather risk, however a lesser hail threat. In the green area, severe weather is possible, but with a lessened hail threat.

August 12 Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion

As of this morning, we are looking at a back-up in the Atlantic Ocean. In those terms, it means we have 4- yes, FOUR- systems worth watching in the Atlantic Ocean, which makes my job very busy. Here's the satellite images of all of these systems.

I have noticed that 92L seems farther north than 93L, which could be signaling that 93L may surge towards the Gulf of Mexico and 92L could follow more of a TS Emily track. 

I will not be showing models or anything else because A) There's 4 systems in the area, and B) Models are too far out to give a reasonable solution.