Monday, October 3, 2011

Your Wake-Up Forecast: Valid 7 AM (CDT) October 4

Real-Feel Temperature
The real-feel temperature for tomorrow will be modestly cool, but warming up as the cool air mass finally moves out of the way. Your wake-up temperatures at 7 AM CDT will range from a chilly 40's range in the Great Lakes to a warm 60's in portions of the Plains. The Plains in a heavy majority will mainly reside in the 50's, which is a fairly nice temperature for 7 AM considering what people in the east have had to deal with recently.
3-Hour Precipitation
The day will start off with some showers in the New York region with heavier rain in the Upper Northeast regions, such as Vermont, New Hampshire, Connecticut and the like. The Midwest and most of the Plains will have a nice, dry morning in addition to those nice wake up temperatures in the Plains. The West Coast will be wet once again (unsurprisingly), but even New Mexico will get in on some lighter showers.

Wind, High Waves Stir up Muddy Waters in Lake Michigan

This satellite image shows the muddy waters stirred up by high winds and resulting waves this past week over Lake Michigan. The reason the muddy waters are more present on the eastern side of the lake is because of the direction of the winds and waves.

2011-2012 Winter Forecast: Active hurricane season in October leads to Active Winter

We have learned from watching a video created by Joe Bastardi that it appears, on a very often occasion, every time there is an active hurricane season in October, the following winter is also very active. We believe this may be due to a long range cycle that sets up in October and continues through the winter. So basically, if you see a strong storm as a result of hurricane season, you can expect that to continue through the winter (most of the time.)

Long-Range Forecaster: Chances of Tropical System in Caribbean "More likely than not"

The Long-Range Forecaster from here at The Weather Centre is indicating that the chances of a tropical system in the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico before hurricane season ends is 'more likely than not'. He believes this because of the traditionally more active component of October in the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean regions, and because the warmer waters are more centered in the Gulf of Mexico region. "The reason we aren't seeing tropical systems form in the Caribbean is because of cooler than average water temperatures in that area. However, if a system can get into the Gulf of Mexico, that's where the real development would occur. Lee was an example, but he was a bad and poorly-organized example."
This afternoon/evening's forecast rainfall
Special report on October's hurricane forecast from our Long Range Forecaster this afternoon.

October 3- Place to Be

Today's Place to Be is Norfolk, Nebraska.