|Compared to our earlier graphic, it may seem lower, but we are using a different equation to determine the tornado risk.|
Friday, January 20, 2012
|Probability of a significant tornado|
If you are under a tornado warning, hide in:
-Room in the center of the house
|Forecast Mesoscale Convective System (MCS) Index for 18 hours out|
Higher MCS values indicate higher potential for strong storms
Chance of a tornado: 50-60%
Where a tornado is most likely: Jackson, Tennessee
Confidence a tornado will touch down: Moderate
While it is hard to forecast for tornadoes, this does have potential to be a tornadic situation, as it is uncommon to see the Tornado Mask map above have color on it.
Stay safe, everyone.
We will have updates throughout the day on this system.
Because this is a nowcasting (forecasting as it happens) event, we will not be making a new graphic. However, the models did win in the NWS vs Models fiasco last night, so our graphic from yesterday is valid once again.