May 21: Tornado Notice- Evant, TX

Evant, Texas is reported to be in the DIRECT path of this tornado.
Doppler radar confirms strong rotation is occurring.
TAKE COVER!

May 21: Tornado Warning (Developing Tornado)- Evant, Texas

TORNADO WARNING
TXC099-193-281-212130-
/O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0079.110521T2052Z-110521T2130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
352 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN CORYELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
  SOUTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
  NORTH CENTRAL LAMPASAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 352 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  DEVELOPING TORNADO 5 MILES WEST OF EVANT...MOVING EAST AT 15
  MPH. THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM!  SEEK SHELTER NOW!

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  EVANT AROUND 405 PM CDT...

Weather Explained: 2011 Hurricane Forecast is very high. Is this a result of global warming?

While the forecast is high due to warmer waters, it is impossible for all that warmth to come from global warming. Maybe a degree higher, but what we are talking about here is a 150%+ of normal hurricanes.
While last year was the 3rd most active (that is a result of global warming), it isn't a direct result.

Something big is going on in the oceans- something bigger than the effect of global warming.
Maybe increased shear or warm waters (likely) we may not know for certain.

All in all, the active season forecast is an indirect result of global warming.

May 21 Place to Be: Wilmington, North Carolina

Today's Place to Be is Wilmington, North Carolina.

Wilmington
HIGH- 85
Weather: Mostly Sunny
Wind: West 5-7 mph.

May 21 Severe Weather

DISCUSSION
Dryline which has been the focus for severe storms yesterday will shift eastward before retreating west again.
Residue from MCS that moved through the central US yesterday will have potential for early morning thunderstorms. Ample and elevated CAPE will be present for a hail and damaging wind threat.
Given the moist atmosphere the storms would be in, there would be potential for the storms to persist. That would give the storms a large hail threat and a tornado threat.

By late afternoon, Central/East Kansas through East Nebraska and East OK/KS will be the feature of scattered thunderstorm development. Some of the storms will be supercells, especially in Oklahoma and Kansas. With CAPE from 2000 j/kg in Neb. to over 3000 j/kg in Oklahoma, there will be a threat for very large hail and damaging winds. Tornadoes are a possibility, especially over eastern Oklahoma and Kansas in the evening as the lower level jet stream strengthens.

Farther East and NE, into East Arkansas, East Missouri E/NE into portions of IL/IN and even west TN/KY, storms may develop separate from the ones mentioned above. There is potential for bowing segments with risk for damaging winds.

Today's Hail threat

Today's wind threat

Today's tornado threat