ET-Surge Model

Extratropical Surge Model

See ESTOFS Model for Tropical Storm Surge

ET-SURGE

ESTOFS Model

ESTOFS Storm Surge Model

ESTOFS

GFDL Ensembles

GFDL Hurricane Ensembles

GFDL Ensembles

CCDNM Model

CIMSS Convective Development Nearcasting Model

CCDNM Model

Severe Weather Wall

SPC Outlooks
Day 1 (Today): Day 1 Outlook ,  Tornado ,  Hail ,  Damaging Wind
Day 2 (Tomorrow): Day 2 Outlook ,  Probabilistic Forecast
Day 3: Probabilistic and General Forecast
Days 4-8: General Forecast

SPC SREF Model
SPC Upper Air Soundings

NAM Severe Weather Page

Winter Weather Wall

Welcome to the Winter Weather Wall, soon to become Mission Control for all winter weather related things.


(This post will no longer be updated. Look at the tab 'Winter Weather Wall' above for the regularly updated version.)


For Today
Probability of 4≤ inches of snow
Probability of 8≤ inches of snow
Probability of 12≤ inches of snow
Probability of .25≤ inches of ice

For Tomorrow
Probability of 4≤ inches of snow
Probability of 8≤ inches of snow
Probability of 12≤ inches of snow
Probability of .25≤ inches of ice

For the Day after Tomorrow
Probability of 4≤ inches of snow
Probability of 8≤ inches of snow
Probability of 12≤ inches of snow
Probability of .25≤ inches of ice

HPC-Related Forecasts
HPC SREF-Derived Impact Guidance (Intensity, Visibility, Duration Forecasts)
HPC Heavy Snow Discussion

Snowfall Accumulation Forecasts
DGEX 6 hour snow Accumulation Forecast
DGEX Hours 84-192 Total Snow Accumulation Forecast
NAM 0z/12z Snowfall Forecasts
NAM 6z/18z Snowfall Forecasts
GFS 0z/12z Snowfall Forecasts
GFS 6z/18z Snowfall Forecasts

Note: DGEX model can be considered 'unreliable' in some long-range forecasts.