-ECMWF: Has strong low track through South IL with rain/snow line in WI/IL border. South Track.
-NOGAPS: NOGAPS goes into Central IL heading northeast.
-GEM: Takes ECMWF track, but rain/snow line collapses down into Central IL. South Track.
-GFS: Takes strong low pressure through North IL. North Track.
-DGEX: Takes Low through Central IL with rain/snow line in WI/IL border. Arctic air quickly follows, making backside precip all snow.
Consensus: DGEX and NOGAPS are in good agreement with each other on a middle track, while ECMWF and GEM are in agreement with each other. Will have to make GFS an outlier, and at this time, will go with a NOGAPS/ECMWF solution.
No comments:
Post a Comment