Friday, April 15, 2011

April 15: Tornado Watch #2


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 141
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1120 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA
          SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1120 AM UNTIL 900
   PM CDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTH OF MONTGOMERY
   ALABAMA TO 145 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SELMA ALABAMA.  FOR A COMPLETE
   DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 140...
   
   DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS OVER SERN MS/SWRN AL ARE EXPECTED
   TO MOVE/DEVELOP NEWD ACROSS WW AREA WITHIN A DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY
   LAYER IN WAKE OF RETREATING WARM FRONT.  HERE...THE COMBINATION OF
   DEW POINTS RISING THROUGH THE 60S AND DIABATIC HEATING IN THE
   BOUNDARY LAYER WILL YIELD AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES INCREASING TO
   1000-2000 J/KG.  THIS INSTABILITY COUPLED WITH RATHER STRONG
   LOW-LEVEL SHEAR /I.E. EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES OF 200-400 M2 PER S2/
   WILL RESULT IN AN ENVIRONMENT QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE
   OF TORNADOES /SOME SIGNIFICANT/...LARGE HAIL APPROACHING 2.0-2.5
   INCHES IN DIAMETER AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.

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