However, if the system continues to move west from Florida and reaches the Gulf of Mexico, it could redevelop even stronger and possibly into a tropical cyclone.
We do have ensembles of forecast tracks and intensity.
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This ensemble shows an ensemble of several models for the forecast track of this system. Right now, the popular [track is for the system to cross Florida and keep close to the Gulf of Mexico. Then, the low is forecast to come onshore either on Texas or Louisiana and curve through Texas. A couple models actually take the low through the Plains.
Image use not allowedThis is an intensity forecast as of how strong this system could get. All the models bring this system to at least minimal tropical storm system status. 2 models actually get close to Category 1 hurricane status, and one of those models does take the low into that strength category.
In summary, I do expect a potential tropical storm to occur, but it does look like the storm will dissipate as it crosses Florida. Everyone in Florida should be prepared for heavy rains and gusty winds regardless of development, and the Gulf Coast folk should keep an eye to the skies and this blog for further daily, in-depth information.