Adrian continues to move parallel to land and will do so while keeping the same pace over the next few days. In that time period, Adrian is now forecast to intensify into a major hurricane (Cat. 3 or higher).
I don't know what the NHC looks at, but I will agree with them instead of these ensembles.
Adrian is a Category 1 hurricane and a healthy one at that. It will strengthen and move to the northwest over the next several days and intensify.