Saturday, July 30, 2011

July 30: Atlantic Tropical 2:00 PM Update

There is a tropical system in the Atlantic Ocean with an 80% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours.
Should the storm develop, its name would be Emily. However, for now the system is just an invest, or a pre-tropical cyclone of sorts.
Regardless of if Emily develops, we will se the system make its way through the Caribbean area and head straight for Florida. This is where it gets tricky. There are mainly two options at that stage. Either head for Florida or ride up the East Coast. As of right now, longer range models are bringing Emily up the East Coast.
Intensity forecasts favor a tropical storm Emily instead of a hurricane, but there is still that option. The Weather Centre believes Emily will become a weak-moderate Category 1 hurricane at best, and swoop up the East Coast, bringing waves along the shoreline.

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