Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Tropical Storm Nate Forms in the Bay of Campeche, off shore of Mexico

TS Nate has formed offshore the coast of Mexico in the Bay of Campeche. The NHC has not officially released tracks and wind forecasts for this system, but estimates are that Mexico and possibly the US will be affected. Here is the ECMWF portrayal of Nate.

The ECMWF allows Nate to develop into a hurricane, then make landfall on Mexico, only affecting South Texas with outer wind bands. Only sprinkles may come from that system if this verifies. These forecasts are still considered 'long-range', so they will be changing over the next several days.

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