MJO Forecast Unfavorable For Winter Weather

MJO Forecast

MJO Precip. Anomalies for Phases 3 and 4

MJO Temp. Anomalies for Phases 3 and 4

The MJO, a strong influence of weather in the winter season, is not looking favorable for the next several days for the US. The GFS and ensembles have the MJO moving into Phases 3 and 4. Phases 3 and 4 would mean the following effects for the US:

1. Warm for Much of US
2. Cool for SE in Phase 4, Cool for SW in Phase 3.
3. Dry for Midwest, Ohio Valley, Upper North US for both Phases
4. Wet in West US, Southeast in Phase 3.
5. Wet in NW, NE in Phase 4.