Thursday, December 1, 2011

December 4-9 Snow Event Briefing (Updated 12/1)

The GFS model has begun a shift southeast. Using the color key on the bottom right, it can be determined that the GFS has indeed been moving in a southeast direction. The NCEP ensembles are moving southeast as well.
Something we are watching and will publish in a full discussion that will be out at 4:30 this afternoon is how the models are holding some of the storm's energy back that may eventually track farther to the southeast than what the first storm's track currently is. Essentially, this means 2 storms would be in the making, and that appears the situation that is unfolding.

Again, a full discussion will be out at 4:30 PM CST.

14 comments:

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.Have you checked the Accu-weather.com new prediction for this winter.They really changed that thing.Do you agree with what their predicting or not?

Andrew said...

I do agree with their graphic and reasoning to a very full extent. This forecast is one that, in my eyes, is an accurate one.

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.Would this put Ohio in the heavy snowfall or not?

Andrew said...

No.

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.Based on what i see,Ohio WILL not see any snowstorms at all this winter.

Andrew said...

That is a very extreme view and is not true.
Ohio will see snowstorms. It's the first day of meteorological winter. There is a LOT of winter to go through.

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.This is what i do not understand.This is a piece of what the article reads from Accuweather.It states that cities such as Cleveland and Cincinnati will see "well above normal snowfall for the season."These are cities in Ohio.I'm located in line between these two cities.Cincinnati is southwest and cleveland is northeast from my location.

Anonymous said...

do you think the southeast will get hit now with this storm?

Anonymous said...

How much snow do you think Detroit mi will receive this year and how cold will it be

Andrew said...

Mike: Then you will likely end up seeing above normal snowfall as well if their forecast verifies.

Anonymous #1: The Southeast will most likely not be affected with this storm.

Anonymous #2: Detroit ought to end up a bit below average with above average snowfall.

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.Thanks for answering my question.Have a good one!!!!!!!!!!

Anonymous said...

who thinks the southeast will get at least 2 snowstorms this year cause my confidence is getting low over these negative comments about this winter.

Andrew said...

Anonymous: The Southeast has and likely will be a climatologically unfavorable place for snow. It's just the truth. I do think the Southeast will get another brush of snow, just like the one late last month. If you want to see monthly snowfall amounts, you can go to this link:
http://www.sercc.com/climateinfo/historical/avgsnowfall.html

Anonymous said...

But north carolina sees at least one or two storms every year almost