A storm system currently in the Southwest will drift eastward and disperse into a weak wave of energy that will travel on a NNE path from New Mexico. This weak wave will move into Wisconsin and put down some snow accumulations in that area. Left behind will be a bulk of the energy. This other piece of energy will eject on a more NE based path as a cold air blast following the first wave of energy will modify the path of the storm. The cold air will be pushing the storm track on a more southerly position as the cold air mass fights for control of the Southeast, where a ridge will be positioned. As this second wave of energy ejects, snow is expected to fall in New Mexico, Texas and Oklahoma. As this system moves along the track we have designated, it appears that snowfall amounts will decrease. It is either that or the issue of the SREF timeframe being too short for this storm.
|SREF Individual Members Projected Low Pressure Centers at Hour 87 (last possible timeframe for SREF)|