Friday, July 20, 2012

MJO Too Weak to Impact Weather

The Madden-Julian Oscillation has moved itself into a position where it is too weak to significantly impact the weather patterns over the US.

Statistical models show the MJO to stay in this very weak stage for a while, which could help enable the massive heat wave to re-surge back north. This re-surge is actually being shown by the CPC as being possible.

The ECMWF and ECMWF Ensembles are actually pointing back to the MJO moving into Phase 3, which signifies a wet US. However, this will still have to be closely watched to see if it pans out.


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