Saturday, September 15, 2012

Tropical Corner: Invest 92 Eyeing Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico Path

Good evening everyone, and welcome to the new Tropical Corner, where we discuss tropical weather across the Atlantic and East Pacific. Tonight, we are checking out Invest 92, just to the east of the Caribbean.

Invest 92 currently has a 20% chance of development per the National Hurricane Center, thanks to unfavorable upper level winds. However, as Invest 92 progresses west into the Caribbean, model guidance is suggesting strengthening will occur.

Model guidance for Invest 92 has the system possibly achieving Category 3 hurricane status as it gets going into the Caribbean. The track forecast remains unclear, with some models taking the system north west, more towards the Gulf Coast. Others take it west and well into the Caribbean.

There appears to be a slight consensus of a west-northwest movement, but after that, it all breaks down as far as confidence goes.

This is a brief article, as I am strapped for time. I will revisit Invest 92 tomorrow with much more information. The Tropical Corner should be a regular segment, and I hope you will like it!


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