Sunday, December 9, 2012

December 9 Severe Weather Event

There is potential for a severe weather event across the South Plains and Southeast today, as the Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk of severe weather across these areas.

Image from WeatherBell
The storms should begin to ramp up around the evening hours tonight. The above image is simulated radar reflectivity, which means this is what you could see on the radar in coming hours. This is the forecast for 5:00 PM central time, and we can see some strong singular celled storms developing in Arkansas, west Tennessee, west Kentucky and southeast Missouri.
My concern is that a tornadic threat will develop with the cells in Arkansas, while a more linear structure will start the severe threat as wind and hail in Texas. While you can see that big, lone cell in southeast Texas, I doubt it will happen to a 'T'.

5 hours later, we now see that the severe weather threat has evolved into a wind and hail threat, as the storms are now linear. The strongest storms look to be in Tennessee, Arkansas and Kentucky, while Texas should be on the end of this severe weather potential.

Andrew

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