Monday, July 15, 2013

Arctic Temperatures Coldest Since 1958

Temperatures being observed at the Arctic are the coldest observed at this time period since at least 1958, leading to additional speculation that this winter could be different than those observed in the past while.

The chart above shows latest temperatures in the Arctic over 2013. The winter is shown at the left of the chart, where you can see the wild fluctuations in temperatures as the stratospheric warmings we discussed in depth last winter aided high pressure development that eventually led to warmer than normal temperatures. However, now that we are in the summertime, the Arctic has calmed down for the season. These unusually cool temperatures can easily be used for those interested in the global warming debate, but I'm not here to discuss that right now.

Arctic sea ice melt is likely to be hampered. Below normal Arctic temperatures, while still above freezing, set the stage for a probable lessening of the severity of ice melt anticipated this summer. While we still expect to fall well below average sea ice levels, it is very possible that this season's sea ice extent will be unlike last year, where we hit a record low in sea ice, but more like sea ice levels roughly a decade ago.

It is likely we will find more correlations between this temperature anomaly and other atmospheric factors later on in the year, but for now, it is something to keep an eye on.

I will have an add-on piece to this article tomorrow.

Andrew

5 comments:

Liam David (Of global research) said...

This is more PROOF we are heading into an ice age.

So much for warming.

Anonymous said...

This is very interesting! I have a question if I am reading this & understanding correctly, I'm thinking this means (could mean) a very cold winter as what you posted sounds that way to me. I have to have stuff like you posted in laymen terms! I bet I'm right..I read somewhere that this summer could be cool except for some of the days will be warmer, like July & August, which is normal. I also read we will not have a lot of precip, later on due to I'm not sure what. (I am, but I will not say) I'm not sure where I was going with this, but I'm thinking what you posted could mean & probably is going to be a very cold winter for us Iowans! I really hate that! Keep up the great work you do Andrew, I really love your site! It is the most accurate site I & others depend on!
bree

Anonymous said...

Hi Andrew!

Awesome article. Because this summer has been cooler than usual, it seems like no big surprise to me that the artic is colder this year than any other year (well, since 1958)

Are there any correlation between arctic temps and US winter temps? Would love for you to talk about that in your lost tomorrow.

Thanks so much Andrew!

Shirley said...

So, is it global warming or global cooling? Too bad that this question has become so politically charged that scientists feel pressured to "take a stand" in either direction--or some probably walk away from researching the question because of the negative opinions which will surround them if the public and certain powers don't like the answer.

Keep up the good work. I enjoy this site and learning about the thinking process that meteorologists apply to understanding weather patterns.

Anonymous said...

What does this mean for southeast michigan this winter