As the image above shows, there will be a rather deep area of negative height anomalies over East Asia for November 28th, as exhibited by the dark blues in the top left of the left-hand panel. There is a knwon correlation that indicates storm systems or ridges of high pressure over East Asia can be reciprocated in the United States 6-10 days after the event's occurrence in East Asia. As we see a stormy period begin in East Asia over November 28th, I would expect December 4-8 to be the timeframe for a winter storm in the US as a result of this East Asian correlation. There are already a couple of guesses put out by the ECMWF control run. The most recent forecast has a storm system targeting the Midwest and Great Lakes for snow, as shown below (note the yellow arrow denoting the storm track)...
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| ECMWF Ensemble Control MSLP anomaly projection for December 5th |
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| ECMWF Ensemble Control MSLP anomaly projection for December 8th |
Andrew
5 comments:
For the secind run with the stronger storm, where is it projected to be?
It is projected to be in the lower Ohio Valley, as the deep blues show.
As long as its kept away from my area for god's sake, I'm highly allergic to that stuff!
bree
Models have been teasing some arctic air moving into the Pacific Northwest next week, what is your opinion on this? Thanks!
bree,
what if i am the farmer down the road and i need this wet stuff no matter what form it comes in.
what if it makes the difference wether you pay $2 or $5 for that loaf of bread or wether i can make my bank payment or not.
instead of cursing this moisture
why dont you pray that you have the strenght to get thru the tough times because a lot of farmers will glady take this stuff anyway they can get it
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