The first image is the GFS model. It has inched farther north from South Arkansas to Central Arkansas. Often, storms will suddenly dive, then slowly come back up. We'll have to see if that happens.The second image is the Short Range Ensemble Forecast. The three tracks going south are the same model, so don't invest much of anything into that. Same with the Pink tracks. But the Pink and red are combined, 2 different models favoring the north, 1 model with 3 branches favoring south.
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